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Violent Crime Trends in Fairway, Kansas: A Study of Fluctuating Rates in a Growing City
CATEGORY
Crime
DATA
Violent Crime
Median Rent
Racial Distributions
Population
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Crime
Violent Crime
Median Rent
Racial Distributions
Population
Fairway, Kansas, a small suburban community with a population of 3,399 as of 2022, has experienced fluctuations in its violent crime rates over the past decade. Total violent crimes ranged from a low of 1 in 2014 and 2015 to a high of 6 in 2021. During this period, the population showed overall growth, increasing from 3,263 in 2010 to 3,399 in 2022, representing a 4.17% increase.
Murder rates in the city have remained consistently at zero throughout the observed period from 2010 to 2022. This stability in the absence of murders is noteworthy, especially considering the population growth. The murder rate per 1,000 people has consequently remained at 0, and the city has consistently accounted for 0% of the state's murders. This trend suggests a high level of safety in terms of lethal violence within the community.
Rape incidents in the city have fluctuated over the years. The city reported no rapes from 2010 to 2011 and 2014 to 2019. However, there was one reported case in 2012 and 2013, representing 0.12% and 0.14% of the state's total, respectively. In 2020 and 2021, the number increased to 2 cases per year, accounting for 0.44% and 0.36% of the state's total. The rate per 1,000 people peaked in 2020 at 0.60. Notably, in 2022, rape incidents returned to zero. This variability suggests the need for continued vigilance in sexual assault prevention efforts.
Robbery trends show intermittent occurrences. The city experienced 1 to 2 robberies in 2010, 2011, 2012, and 2015, with the highest state percentage of 0.15% in 2011. From 2013 to 2014 and 2016 to 2019, no robberies were reported. A single robbery occurred in 2020, representing 0.4% of the state's total. The years 2021 and 2022 saw no robberies. The highest rate per 1,000 people was 0.61 in 2011. The overall trend indicates a low and decreasing incidence of robbery in the community.
Aggravated assault has been the most prevalent form of violent crime in the city. The number of cases has ranged from 0 to 4 per year. The highest number of aggravated assaults (4) occurred in 2021, representing 0.13% of the state's total. The rate per 1,000 people peaked at 1.14 in 2021. There's no clear long-term trend, with fluctuations from year to year. The most recent data for 2022 shows 2 cases, or 0.59 per 1,000 people, indicating a moderate level of this crime type in the community.
Examining correlations, there appears to be a weak positive relationship between population density and violent crime rates. As the population density increased from 2,890 per square mile in 2010 to 3,011 in 2022, there was a slight overall increase in violent crime, though with significant year-to-year variations. Additionally, there's a notable correlation between the racial composition changes and crime rates. As the white population percentage decreased from 95% in 2013 to 88% in 2022, there was a slight increase in overall violent crime rates, particularly in the diversity of crime types reported.
Applying predictive models based on the available data, it's projected that by 2029, Fairway may experience a slight increase in overall violent crime rates. The model suggests that aggravated assaults could potentially rise to an average of 3-4 cases per year, while rape and robbery incidents might stabilize at 1-2 cases annually. However, the murder rate is expected to remain at zero, continuing the city's trend of no reported murders.
In summary, Fairway has maintained relatively low violent crime rates over the past decade, with aggravated assault being the most common form of violent crime. The absence of murders and the generally low incidence of other violent crimes indicate a relatively safe community. However, the slight upward trend in overall violent crime, particularly in aggravated assaults, suggests the need for continued community policing efforts and crime prevention strategies. The changing demographics of the city may also play a role in future crime trends, emphasizing the importance of inclusive community-building initiatives to maintain the city's overall safety and quality of life.
