Robbery has been an extremely rare occurrence in the city. From 2010 to 2021, only one robbery was reported, which occurred in 2017. This single incident represented 0.45% of the state's robberies that year. The robbery rate per 1,000 residents in 2017 was 0.17, and it has remained at 0 for all other years in the dataset. This indicates that robbery is not a significant concern for the community, and the city maintains a very low contribution to the state's robbery statistics.

Aggravated assault has been the most prevalent form of violent crime in the city. The number of aggravated assaults fluctuated considerably, from a low of 2 incidents in 2014 to a high of 21 in 2015. In 2021, there were 11 aggravated assaults, representing a 37.5% increase from the 8 incidents in 2010. The rate per 1,000 residents increased slightly from 1.41 in 2010 to 1.70 in 2021. The city's contribution to the state's aggravated assault total varied, peaking at 1.58% in 2015 and settling at 0.45% in 2021. These fluctuations suggest that while aggravated assault remains a concern, its relative impact on state totals has decreased in recent years.

Examining correlations, there appears to be a moderate positive relationship between population growth and the number of aggravated assaults. As the population increased from 5,683 in 2010 to 6,477 in 2021, the number of aggravated assaults also showed an overall upward trend, despite year-to-year fluctuations. Additionally, the racial composition of the city has remained predominantly white, with the percentage of white residents increasing slightly from 93% in 2013 to 95% in 2021. This stability in racial demographics suggests that changes in violent crime rates are likely influenced by factors other than shifts in racial composition.

Applying predictive models to forecast violent crime trends for the next five years (up to 2029), it is anticipated that the city will continue to experience low levels of murder and robbery, with these crimes remaining rare or nonexistent. Rape incidents are expected to remain low, potentially fluctuating between 0 and 2 cases annually. Aggravated assaults are projected to show a slight upward trend, potentially reaching 13-15 incidents per year by 2029, assuming the population continues to grow at a similar rate.

In summary, Stevensville has maintained a relatively safe environment with low levels of violent crime, despite some fluctuations in aggravated assaults. The absence of murders, rarity of robberies, and low rape rates contribute to a generally positive public safety profile. However, the slight upward trend in aggravated assaults warrants continued attention from local law enforcement and community leaders to ensure the long-term safety and well-being of residents.