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Property Crime Trends in Fromberg, Montana: A Small Town's Safety Profile
CATEGORY
Crime
DATA
Property Crime
Percent Owner Occupied
Median Income
Population
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Crime
Property Crime
Percent Owner Occupied
Median Income
Population
Fromberg, a small town in Montana, presents an interesting case study in property crime trends. With a population of 494 in 2022, this rural community has experienced fluctuations in both its population and crime rates over the years. In 2017, the only year for which property crime data is available, the town reported a total of 2 property crimes. This limited data makes it challenging to establish long-term trends, but it provides a snapshot of the town's crime situation relative to its size.
Regarding burglary, the data shows no reported incidents in 2017. This absence of burglaries is noteworthy for a small town, suggesting effective home security measures or a strong community watch program. The burglary rate per 1,000 people stands at 0, and the percentage of state burglaries attributed to Fromberg is also 0%. This indicates that burglary was not a significant concern for the town in that year.
Larceny-theft, on the other hand, saw one reported incident in 2017. With a population of 547 that year, this translates to a rate of approximately 1.83 thefts per 1,000 residents. The data shows that this single incident accounted for 0.01% of all larceny-thefts in Montana for that year. While a single incident may seem minor, in a small community like Fromberg, it can have a noticeable impact on the overall crime rate and community perception of safety.
Motor vehicle theft in Fromberg also had one reported incident in 2017. This equates to a rate of about 1.83 motor vehicle thefts per 1,000 residents. Interestingly, this single incident represented 0.06% of all motor vehicle thefts in Montana that year, a disproportionately high percentage given the town's small size. This could suggest that motor vehicle theft was a rare but significant event in the community when it did occur.
The data shows no reported cases of arson in Fromberg for 2017. Similar to burglary, the arson rate per 1,000 people and the percentage of state arsons are both 0%. This absence of arson cases is a positive indicator for community safety and property protection.
When examining correlations between property crime and other demographic factors, we must be cautious due to the limited crime data available. However, we can note that in 2017, when the 2 property crimes were reported, the town had a relatively high home ownership rate of 91% and a median income of $59,760. The population density that year was 1,233 people per square mile. These factors might contribute to a relatively low crime rate, as higher home ownership and median income are often associated with lower crime rates in many communities.
Applying predictive models to forecast property crime trends in Fromberg is challenging due to the limited data. However, if we extrapolate from the single data point and consider the town's declining population trend (from 547 in 2017 to 494 in 2022), we might cautiously predict that property crime rates could remain low or potentially decrease slightly over the next five years to 2029. This prediction assumes that the factors contributing to the low crime rate in 2017 remain relatively stable.
In summary, Fromberg presents a picture of a small community with very low reported property crime rates based on the available data from 2017. The absence of burglaries and arsons, combined with only one incident each of larceny-theft and motor vehicle theft, suggests a relatively safe environment. However, the limited dataset makes it crucial to interpret these findings cautiously and continue monitoring crime trends in the coming years to establish a more comprehensive understanding of the town's safety profile.
