Aggravated assault has been the most prevalent form of violent crime in the city. The number of incidents fluctuated over the years, from 1 in 2011 and 2015 to a peak of 4 in 2013. In 2018, there were 3 reported cases. The rate per 1,000 residents varied accordingly, reaching a high of approximately 1.1 per 1,000 in 2013 and settling at about 0.76 per 1,000 in 2018. The city's contribution to the state's aggravated assault incidents ranged from 0.01% to 0.03%, with the highest percentage occurring in 2013.

There appears to be a moderate correlation between population density and violent crime rates. As the population density increased from 1,774 per square mile in 2011 to 1,949 per square mile in 2018, there was a general upward trend in violent crime incidents, particularly aggravated assaults. However, this correlation is not perfectly linear, as evidenced by the fluctuations in crime rates.

Applying predictive models based on the available data, it's projected that by 2029 (five years from now), the city may see a slight increase in violent crime incidents, potentially reaching an average of 5-6 total violent crimes per year. This projection assumes a continuation of current trends and stable population growth.

In summary, Pilot Mountain has maintained relatively low violent crime rates, with aggravated assault being the primary concern. The absence of murders and the infrequent occurrence of robberies suggest a generally safe environment. However, the fluctuations in aggravated assault cases and their correlation with population growth indicate areas for continued vigilance and community-oriented policing efforts to maintain and improve public safety.