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Violent Crime Trends in Coats, NC: A Decade of Improvement Amid Growth
CATEGORY
Crime
DATA
Violent Crime
Median Rent
Racial Distributions
Population
Loading Content...
Crime
Violent Crime
Median Rent
Racial Distributions
Population
Coats, North Carolina, a small city with a population of 8,874 in 2022, has experienced significant changes in its violent crime rates over the years, alongside substantial population growth. From 2011 to 2021, the total number of violent crimes decreased from 8 to 5, representing a 37.5% reduction. During the same period, the population grew from 6,704 to 8,504, an increase of 26.8%.
The murder rate in Coats has remained consistently at zero from 2011 to 2021, with no reported cases throughout this period. This statistic is particularly noteworthy given the population growth, maintaining a murder rate of 0 per 1,000 residents. The percentage of state murders attributed to Coats has also remained at 0% throughout this time, indicating that the city has not contributed to the state's murder statistics.
Rape incidents in the city have fluctuated over the years. In 2012, there was 1 reported case, which translated to 0.14 incidents per 1,000 people and represented 0.08% of the state's total. Data for rape was not available for 2013 and 2014. In 2021, another single case was reported, resulting in a rate of 0.12 per 1,000 people and accounting for 0.05% of the state's total. Despite the consistent number of cases, the per capita rate decreased due to population growth, and the city's contribution to state totals also declined.
Robbery trends show a variable pattern. In 2012, there were 3 reported robberies, equating to 0.42 per 1,000 residents and 0.04% of the state's total. The following years saw no reported robberies until 2021, when 1 case was recorded. This translates to 0.12 robberies per 1,000 people and 0.02% of the state's total, indicating a decrease in both the rate and the city's contribution to state figures.
Aggravated assault has shown the most significant fluctuations among violent crimes in Coats. In 2011, there were 8 cases (1.19 per 1,000 people), representing 0.06% of the state's total. This number decreased to 3 cases in 2012 and 2013 (0.42 and 0.40 per 1,000 people respectively), then further dropped to 1 case in 2014 (0.13 per 1,000 people). By 2021, there were 3 reported cases, equating to 0.35 per 1,000 people and 0.01% of the state's total. This represents a significant overall decrease in both the rate and the city's contribution to state figures.
There appears to be a correlation between the decline in violent crime rates and the increase in population density. As the population density increased from 4,706 per square mile in 2011 to 5,970 in 2021, the overall violent crime rate decreased. Additionally, there seems to be a relationship between rising median rent prices and decreasing violent crime rates. The median rent increased from $558 in 2013 to $902 in 2021, coinciding with the overall reduction in violent crimes.
Applying predictive models to forecast violent crime trends for the next five years (up to 2029), we can anticipate a continued decrease in violent crime rates if current trends persist. The total number of violent crimes could potentially drop to 3-4 annually, with aggravated assault likely remaining the most common violent offense. The murder rate is expected to remain at zero, while rape and robbery incidents may occur sporadically, possibly averaging less than one case per year.
In summary, Coats has demonstrated a notable improvement in its violent crime statistics over the past decade, despite significant population growth. The consistent absence of murders, the sporadic nature of rape and robbery incidents, and the overall decrease in aggravated assaults paint a picture of a city that has become increasingly safer. These trends, coupled with rising population density and median rent prices, suggest that Coats is experiencing positive development that may be contributing to enhanced public safety.
