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Crime
Violent Crime
Median Rent
Racial Distributions
Population
Leeton, Missouri, presents an intriguing case study in violent crime trends. With a population of 1,760 in 2022, this small city has experienced fluctuations in both its population and crime rates over the years. The total number of violent crimes in Leeton has been notably low, with only one incident reported in 2010 and no reported violent crimes in subsequent years for which data is available. This represents a 100% decrease in violent crime from 2010 to 2017, the last year with recorded data. During this same period, the population decreased by 16.9%, from 1,833 in 2010 to 1,523 in 2017, before rebounding to 1,760 by 2022.
Regarding murder trends, Leeton has maintained a consistent record of zero murders throughout the years for which data is available (2010-2017). This stability is particularly noteworthy given the population fluctuations during this period. The murder rate per 1,000 people has remained at 0, and the city has consistently accounted for 0% of the state's murder cases.
Rape incidents in Leeton have also been consistently reported as zero from 2010 to 2017. Similar to murder cases, the rape rate per 1,000 people has remained at 0, and the city has not contributed to the state's rape statistics during this period. This trend is particularly positive given the city's small population, where even a single incident would significantly impact the per capita rate.
Robbery trends in Leeton mirror those of murder and rape, with zero reported incidents from 2010 to 2017. The robbery rate per 1,000 people has consistently been 0, and the city has not contributed to the state's robbery statistics. This absence of robberies is noteworthy for a city of Leeton's size and demographic composition.
Aggravated assault is the only violent crime category where Leeton has reported an incident. In 2010, there was one case of aggravated assault, representing a rate of 0.55 per 1,000 people. This single incident accounted for 0.01% of the state's aggravated assault cases that year. However, from 2011 to 2017, no aggravated assaults were reported, bringing the rate back to 0 per 1,000 people and 0% of state cases.
When examining correlations between violent crime trends and other demographic factors, the data suggests a weak to non-existent relationship. The city's population density and median rent have fluctuated over the years, but these changes do not appear to correlate strongly with the very low and stable violent crime rates. Similarly, the racial distribution, which has remained predominantly white (91-97% from 2013 to 2022), does not show a significant correlation with the crime trends.
Applying predictive models to forecast violent crime trends for the next five years (up to 2029) is challenging due to the consistently low crime rates. Based on the historical data, it's reasonable to predict that Leeton will likely maintain its low violent crime rates, potentially with occasional, isolated incidents. However, given the small population, even a single incident could cause a significant percentage increase in the crime rate.
In summary, Leeton demonstrates a remarkably stable and low violent crime profile. The most significant discovery is the consistent absence of reported violent crimes from 2011 to 2017, with only one aggravated assault reported in 2010. This trend, coupled with the city's small population and demographic stability, suggests that Leeton has maintained a safe environment for its residents. The city's ability to maintain such low crime rates, even as its population fluctuated, is noteworthy and may offer insights into effective community policing and social cohesion in small urban settings.