Loading Content...
Violent Crime Trends in Maysville, Missouri: A Study of Stability Amidst Population Decline
CATEGORY
Crime
DATA
Violent Crime
Median Rent
Racial Distributions
Population
Loading Content...
Crime
Violent Crime
Median Rent
Racial Distributions
Population
Maysville, Missouri, presents an intriguing case study in violent crime trends. From 2010 to 2018, this small city experienced minimal violent crime activity, with only 5 reported incidents throughout the entire period. This represents a negligible change in total violent crimes over the years. During this time, the population decreased from 1,455 in 2010 to 1,181 in 2018, showing an overall decline of 18.8%.
The murder rate in Maysville remained consistently at zero throughout the observed period from 2010 to 2018. This stability in the absence of murders is noteworthy, especially considering the population fluctuations. The murder rate per 1,000 people and the percentage of state crime for murder both remained at 0%, indicating that the city maintained a safe environment in terms of homicides despite demographic changes.
Similarly, rape incidents were not reported in the city during the entire period from 2010 to 2018. The rape rate per 1,000 people and the percentage of state crime for rape both remained at 0%. This consistent absence of reported rapes suggests a relatively safe environment for residents in terms of sexual violence, regardless of population changes.
Robbery trends in Maysville show a single incident in 2014, with no other occurrences reported from 2010 to 2018. In 2014, when the population was 1,139, the robbery rate was approximately 0.88 per 1,000 people. The percentage of state crime for robbery in 2014 was 0.02%. This isolated incident stands out against an otherwise robbery-free period, suggesting it was an anomaly rather than indicative of a broader trend.
Aggravated assault shows the most variation among violent crimes in Maysville. There were no reported cases from 2010 to 2012 and from 2015 to 2018. However, in 2013 and 2014, there were 2 cases each year. With populations of 1,315 and 1,139 in those years respectively, the aggravated assault rates were approximately 1.52 and 1.76 per 1,000 people. The percentage of state crime for aggravated assault was 0.01% in both years. This brief spike in aggravated assaults, followed by a return to zero incidents, suggests a temporary increase in violence that was subsequently addressed.
Examining correlations, there appears to be a weak inverse relationship between population density and violent crime in Maysville. As population density decreased from 1,270 per square mile in 2010 to 1,030 in 2018, there was a slight increase in violent crime incidents in the middle years (2013-2014) before returning to zero. However, this correlation is not strong enough to draw definitive conclusions.
Applying predictive models to forecast violent crime trends for the next five years (up to 2029), based on the historical data, it's likely that Maysville will continue to experience very low levels of violent crime. The sporadic nature of the few incidents reported suggests that future occurrences, if any, will likely be isolated and infrequent.
In summary, Maysville demonstrates a remarkably low and stable violent crime environment. The occasional spikes in aggravated assaults and a single robbery incident stand out against an otherwise crime-free backdrop. These findings suggest that the city has maintained effective public safety measures despite population fluctuations, providing a secure living environment for its residents.
