Robbery trends in Jamestown have been sporadic. The city reported one robbery each in 2010, 2014, 2016, and 2019. In other years, including 2022, no robberies were reported. The robbery rate per 1,000 people has fluctuated accordingly, reaching a maximum of about 0.24 in 2014 when the population was 4,196. The city's contribution to the state's total robberies has been minimal, peaking at 0.03% in 2019.

Aggravated assault has been the most prevalent form of violent crime in the city. The number of incidents has fluctuated, with notable peaks of 10 cases in 2017 and 9 cases in 2019 and 2022. The aggravated assault rate per 1,000 people has varied accordingly, reaching its highest at approximately 2.13 per 1,000 in 2017. The city's contribution to the state's aggravated assaults has ranged from 0.01% to 0.05%, with the highest percentage occurring in 2017.

There appears to be a moderate correlation between population density and violent crime rates. As the population density increased from 1,372 per square mile in 2020 to 1,356 in 2022, there was a corresponding increase in violent crimes from 8 to 11 incidents. However, this correlation is not consistently strong throughout the entire period.

The racial composition of Jamestown has remained predominantly white, with a slight decrease from 94% in 2013 to 92% in 2022. This minimal change in racial distribution does not appear to have a strong correlation with violent crime trends.

Applying predictive models based on the available data, it is projected that by 2029 (five years from now), Jamestown may experience a slight increase in violent crimes, potentially reaching 13-15 incidents annually. This prediction assumes that current trends continue without significant interventions or changes in socioeconomic factors.

In summary, Jamestown has experienced a notable increase in violent crimes over the past decade, primarily driven by fluctuations in aggravated assaults and the recent emergence of rape cases. While the city has maintained a zero murder rate, the overall trend suggests a need for targeted crime prevention strategies. The relationship between population density and crime rates, though present, is not consistently strong, indicating that other factors may be influencing the city's crime dynamics. As Jamestown moves forward, addressing the root causes of aggravated assaults and implementing measures to prevent sexual violence should be priorities for maintaining community safety and well-being.