Robbery has been virtually non-existent in Pikeville, with zero reported cases throughout the entire 2010-2022 period. This consistency, even as the population grew, indicates an extremely low incidence of this type of crime, with the per capita robbery rate effectively decreasing as the population increased.

Aggravated assault has been the most prevalent form of violent crime in Pikeville. The number of cases varied year to year, peaking at 8 cases in 2014. The rate per 1,000 people fluctuated, reaching its highest at 3.13 in 2014 and dropping to 1.24 in 2022. Pikeville's contribution to state aggravated assault cases ranged from 0% to 0.04%, with the highest percentage occurring in 2015.

An examination of correlations reveals a relationship between population density and violent crime rates in Pikeville. As the population density increased from 842 people per square mile in 2010 to 1,317 in 2022, the overall violent crime rate showed some fluctuation but generally remained low. This suggests that the city has managed to maintain relatively low crime rates despite increasing urbanization.

Applying predictive models based on the available data, it's projected that by 2029, Pikeville may experience a slight increase in violent crimes, potentially reaching around 7-8 incidents annually. This prediction assumes a continuation of current trends and ongoing population growth.

In conclusion, Pikeville, Tennessee has demonstrated resilience in maintaining low violent crime rates despite significant population growth. The absence of murders and robberies, coupled with sporadic occurrences of rape and fluctuating but generally low rates of aggravated assault, indicates a relatively safe community. However, the projected slight increase in violent crimes underscores the need for continued vigilance and proactive community safety measures as the city continues to grow and develop.