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Crime
Violent Crime
Median Rent
Racial Distributions
Population
Gans, Oklahoma, a small community with a population of 47 as of 2022, presents an intriguing case study in violent crime trends. Over the five-year period from 2018 to 2022, the total number of violent crimes remained remarkably low, with only one incident reported in 2019. This single event represents a 100% increase from 2018 to 2019, followed by a 100% decrease in subsequent years. During this same period, the population grew slightly from 44 to 47 residents, a 6.82% increase.
The murder rate in this small community has remained consistently at zero from 2018 to 2022. With no murders reported, the murder rate per 1,000 people and the percentage of state crime for murder have both remained at 0% throughout this period. This absence of murder cases suggests a relatively safe environment for residents, though the extremely small population size makes it difficult to draw broader conclusions about safety trends.
Regarding rape incidents, the city experienced a single case in 2019, which translated to a rate of 21.28 per 1,000 people given the small population. This incident represented 0.05% of the state's total rape cases for that year. In all other years from 2018 to 2022, there were no reported rape cases, resulting in a rate of 0 per 1,000 people and 0% of state crime. The isolated nature of this single incident makes it challenging to identify any meaningful trends in sexual violence for the community.
Robbery rates in the city have remained consistently at zero from 2018 to 2022. There were no reported robbery cases during this period, resulting in a robbery rate of 0 per 1,000 people and 0% of state robbery crimes across all five years. This absence of robbery cases may indicate a low risk of property-related violent crime in the community.
Similarly, aggravated assault rates have also remained at zero throughout the 2018-2022 period. With no reported cases, the aggravated assault rate per 1,000 people and the percentage of state crime for aggravated assault have consistently been 0%. This lack of aggravated assault incidents suggests a low level of interpersonal violence within the community.
When examining correlations between violent crime trends and other factors, the extremely low crime rates and small population size make it difficult to identify strong relationships. However, it's worth noting that the median rent in the city increased from $719 in 2018 to $800 in 2022, a 11.27% rise, while the single violent crime incident occurred in 2019 when the median rent was $725. The Native American population percentage increased from 23% in 2018 to 26% in 2022, while the White population decreased from 64% to 60% during the same period. These demographic shifts occurred alongside the stable, near-zero violent crime rates.
Applying predictive models to forecast violent crime trends for the next five years (up to 2029) is challenging due to the limited data and extremely low crime rates. Based on the historical data, it's reasonable to project that violent crime rates will likely remain very low or at zero for most years, with the possibility of isolated incidents occurring sporadically. However, the small population size means that even a single incident could significantly impact crime rates and percentages.
In summary, Gans demonstrates an exceptionally low violent crime profile, with only one reported incident over a five-year period. The stable population, increasing median rent, and slight shifts in racial demographics have not corresponded with any discernible trends in violent crime. The community's small size makes it unique in terms of crime analysis, as individual incidents can have an outsized impact on statistical measures. Moving forward, maintaining vigilance and community engagement will be crucial in preserving the low crime rates that characterize this small Oklahoma town.