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Violent Crime Trends in Ninnekah: A Decade of Remarkable Safety
CATEGORY
Crime
DATA
Violent Crime
Median Rent
Racial Distributions
Population
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Crime
Violent Crime
Median Rent
Racial Distributions
Population
Ninnekah, located in Oklahoma, presents an interesting case study in violent crime trends. Over the years from 2011 to 2022, the city experienced minimal violent crime activity, with a notable exception in 2021. The total number of violent crimes remained at zero for most years, suddenly increasing to 2 incidents in 2021, before returning to zero in 2022. This unusual pattern occurred against a backdrop of population fluctuation, with the city's population growing from 1,824 in 2011 to 1,923 in 2022, peaking at 2,167 in 2018.
Regarding murder trends, the city maintained a consistent record of zero murders throughout the entire period from 2011 to 2022. This translates to a murder rate of 0 per 1,000 people, regardless of population changes. The percentage of state murders attributed to the city remained at 0% throughout this period, indicating that Ninnekah did not contribute to the state's murder statistics.
Similarly, rape incidents in the city were consistently reported as zero from 2011 to 2022. The rape rate per 1,000 people remained at 0, and the city's contribution to the state's rape statistics was 0% throughout the period. This suggests that the city has been successful in preventing or not experiencing reported rape incidents, despite population changes.
Robbery trends in Ninnekah followed the same pattern as murder and rape, with zero incidents reported from 2011 to 2022. The robbery rate per 1,000 people remained at 0, and the city's share of state robberies was consistently 0%. This indicates that the city has maintained a robbery-free environment throughout the observed period, regardless of population fluctuations.
The trend for aggravated assaults is the only violent crime category that showed any variation. From 2011 to 2020, and again in 2022, the city reported zero aggravated assaults. However, in 2021, there were 2 reported cases of aggravated assault. This spike resulted in an aggravated assault rate of approximately 0.96 per 1,000 people for that year, based on the 2021 population of 2,084. The city's contribution to the state's aggravated assault statistics rose to 0.02% in 2021, before returning to 0% in 2022.
When examining correlations between violent crime trends and other factors, the data suggests a weak relationship between population density and crime rates. The population density fluctuated between 179 and 212 people per square mile over the years, but this did not correspond consistently with changes in violent crime rates. The singular spike in aggravated assaults in 2021 occurred when the population density was 204 people per square mile, which was neither the highest nor the lowest density recorded.
Applying predictive models to forecast violent crime trends for the next five years (up to 2029) is challenging due to the limited variability in the data. The consistent zero-crime rate for most years, with only one year showing any violent crime, suggests that the city is likely to maintain very low crime rates. However, the isolated incident in 2021 indicates that sporadic occurrences of violent crime, particularly aggravated assaults, may happen occasionally.
In summary, Ninnekah has demonstrated a remarkably low violent crime rate over the past decade, with only one year showing any reported violent crime. The city's ability to maintain such low crime rates, even as its population fluctuated, is noteworthy. While the isolated incident in 2021 serves as a reminder that no community is entirely immune to crime, the overall trend suggests that Ninnekah remains a relatively safe community with minimal violent crime concerns.
