Robbery trends remained relatively low throughout the period. The city reported no robberies in most years, with occasional single incidents in 2010, 2012, 2015, 2020, and 2022. The robbery rate per 1,000 people never exceeded 0.25. Wewoka's share of state robberies remained minimal, peaking at 0.07% in 2022, indicating that robbery is not a significant concern relative to state levels.

Aggravated assault showed the most consistent presence among violent crimes. The number of cases ranged from a low of 2 in 2021 to a high of 17 in 2019. The aggravated assault rate per 1,000 people peaked at 4 in 2019 but dropped to 1.96 in 2022. Wewoka's contribution to state aggravated assault cases fluctuated, reaching a maximum of 0.16% in 2019 before declining to 0.07% in 2022.

A notable correlation emerged between violent crime rates and population density. As the population density decreased from 891 per square mile in 2010 to 843 in 2022, there was a corresponding increase in violent crimes per capita. This suggests that the reduced population did not lead to a proportional reduction in crime.

Median rent in Wewoka showed a steady increase from $433 in 2013 to $723 in 2022, a 67% rise. This increase in rent coincided with periods of both higher and lower violent crime rates, suggesting no strong direct correlation between rent prices and violent crime trends.

Racial distribution changes were subtle but potentially significant. The white population remained relatively stable at around 52% from 2019 to 2022. The Native American population increased slightly from 22% in 2020 to 24% in 2022, while the Black population decreased from 12% to 9% over the same period. These demographic shifts coincided with fluctuations in violent crime rates, but a direct causal relationship cannot be definitively established without further analysis.

Applying predictive models to forecast violent crime trends for the next five years (up to 2029), an increase in overall violent crimes is anticipated. Based on the historical data and current trends, the model suggests that the number of violent crimes could rise to approximately 14-16 incidents per year by 2029. This projection accounts for the recent uptick in murders and the persistent presence of aggravated assaults.

In summary, Wewoka has experienced complex and varying violent crime trends over the past decade. The most significant findings include the recent spike in murders, the overall decrease in rape incidents relative to state figures, and the persistent nature of aggravated assaults. The inverse relationship between population density and crime rates per capita is particularly noteworthy. As the city moves forward, addressing these trends, particularly the recent increase in serious violent crimes like murder, will be crucial for improving public safety and community well-being.