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Violent Crime Trends in Eureka, Montana: A Decade of Low Incidents in a Growing Town
CATEGORY
Crime
DATA
Violent Crime
Median Rent
Racial Distributions
Population
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Crime
Violent Crime
Median Rent
Racial Distributions
Population
Eureka, Montana, a small community with a population of 1,762 as of 2022, has experienced fluctuating violent crime rates over the past decade. From 2010 to 2021, the total number of violent crimes ranged from 0 to 4 incidents per year, showing no consistent trend. During this period, the population grew by approximately 9.3%, from 1,612 in 2010 to 1,762 in 2022.
Regarding murder rates, Eureka has maintained a consistent record of zero murders from 2010 to 2021. This statistic remains unchanged despite population fluctuations, indicating a consistently low murder rate per 1,000 people and a 0% contribution to the state's murder statistics throughout the observed period. This suggests a generally safe environment in terms of homicides.
Rape incidents in the city have been sporadic and infrequent. Only one reported case occurred in 2012, representing 0.49% of the state's total that year. With a population of 1,502 in 2012, this translates to a rate of approximately 0.67 incidents per 1,000 people. The absence of reported rapes in other years indicates that this crime remains rare in the community.
Robbery trends in the city show minimal occurrence. Only one robbery was reported in 2011, accounting for 0.85% of the state's total robberies that year. With a population of 1,560 in 2011, this equates to a rate of about 0.64 robberies per 1,000 people. The lack of reported robberies in other years suggests that this type of crime is not a persistent issue in the community.
Aggravated assault has been the most prevalent form of violent crime in the city, though incidents remain relatively low. The highest number of aggravated assaults was recorded in 2018, with 4 incidents, representing 0.32% of the state's total. Given the population of 1,866 in 2018, this translates to a rate of about 2.14 incidents per 1,000 people. Other years saw between 0 and 2 incidents, with the percentage of state crime ranging from 0% to 0.2%. The fluctuation in aggravated assault rates doesn't show a clear correlation with population changes, suggesting other factors may influence these incidents.
When examining correlations between violent crime trends and demographic factors, no strong relationships are apparent with population density, median income, or race distribution. The sporadic nature of violent crimes in this small community makes it challenging to establish meaningful correlations with these variables.
Applying predictive models to forecast violent crime trends for the next five years (up to 2029) is challenging due to the inconsistent and low number of incidents. However, based on historical data, it's reasonable to expect that violent crime rates will likely remain low, with potentially 0-4 incidents per year, primarily consisting of aggravated assaults. The city may continue to experience years with no reported violent crimes, interspersed with occasional incidents.
In summary, Eureka has maintained relatively low violent crime rates over the past decade, with aggravated assault being the most common form of violent crime. The city's small population and infrequent occurrence of violent crimes suggest a generally safe community environment. While predicting future trends is difficult due to the limited data, the historical pattern indicates that Eureka is likely to continue experiencing low levels of violent crime in the coming years.
