Robbery trends in Coopertown have shown slight fluctuations. There were no reported robberies in most years, with exceptions in 2012 (1 case), 2015 (1 case), 2016 (1 case), and 2020 (2 cases). The highest rate was observed in 2020, with approximately 0.24 robberies per 1,000 people. The city's contribution to the state's robbery cases peaked at 0.06% in 2020. While robbery remains relatively uncommon, the slight increase in 2020 may warrant attention to prevent any potential upward trends.

Aggravated assault has been the most prevalent form of violent crime in Coopertown. The number of cases ranged from a low of 1 in 2018 to a high of 7 in 2016. The rate per 1,000 people fluctuated accordingly, with the highest rate of approximately 0.89 per 1,000 in 2016. The city's contribution to the state's aggravated assault cases has varied, peaking at 0.04% in 2016. Despite some fluctuations, aggravated assault rates have generally remained low, with an average of about 3 cases per year over the studied period.

When examining correlations, there appears to be a weak relationship between population density and violent crime rates. As the population density fluctuated between 244 and 270 people per square mile from 2010 to 2022, violent crime rates did not show a consistent pattern of increase or decrease in response. The racial composition of the city, predominantly white (87% in 2022), has not shown strong correlations with violent crime trends.

Applying predictive models to forecast violent crime trends for the next five years (up to 2029), we can expect the overall violent crime rate to remain relatively stable, with potential slight fluctuations. Based on historical patterns, aggravated assault is likely to continue being the most common form of violent crime, with an estimated average of 3-4 cases per year. Robbery and rape incidents are expected to remain infrequent, potentially occurring once every few years. The murder rate is predicted to stay at zero, maintaining the city's track record.

In summary, Coopertown has maintained relatively low violent crime rates over the past decade, with aggravated assault being the primary concern. The city's consistent zero murder rate and infrequent occurrences of rape and robbery suggest a generally safe environment for residents. However, the fluctuations in aggravated assault cases indicate a need for continued community policing efforts and violence prevention programs to maintain and potentially improve the city's safety record in the coming years.