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Toomsboro's Stable Violent Crime Trends: A Georgia City's Unique Safety Profile
CATEGORY
Crime
DATA
Violent Crime
Median Rent
Racial Distributions
Population
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Crime
Violent Crime
Median Rent
Racial Distributions
Population
Toomsboro, a city in Georgia, presents an intriguing case study in violent crime trends from 2010 to 2022. During this period, the city experienced minimal fluctuations in violent crime rates while undergoing significant population growth. The total number of violent crimes ranged from 0 to 1 incident per year, with the population increasing by 38.3% from 857 in 2010 to 1,185 in 2022.
From 2010 to 2018, Toomsboro consistently reported zero incidents of murder, rape, and robbery. This resulted in rates of 0 per 1,000 residents for these crime categories and a 0% contribution to the state's statistics in these areas. The absence of these crimes over an extended period suggests a relatively safe environment in terms of severe violent offenses.
Aggravated assault was the only category of violent crime that showed any incidents in Toomsboro. The city reported one aggravated assault each in 2012 and 2018, translating to rates of 1.53 and 1.09 per 1,000 residents, respectively. These isolated incidents represented a 0.01% contribution to the state's aggravated assault statistics in both years. Despite these occurrences, the overall trend indicates a very low frequency of aggravated assaults.
An examination of correlations between violent crime trends and other factors reveals a weak inverse relationship between population density and violent crime. As the population density increased from 460 per square mile in 2010 to 636 per square mile in 2022, the occurrence of violent crimes remained consistently low. However, the limited number of incidents makes it challenging to establish a strong correlation.
Applying predictive models to forecast violent crime trends for the next five years (up to 2029) suggests that Toomsboro is likely to maintain its low violent crime rates. Based on historical data, the city can expect to continue experiencing between 0 to 1 violent crime incidents per year, primarily in the form of aggravated assaults. If the population continues to grow at its current pace, the rate per 1,000 residents may slightly decrease.
In conclusion, Toomsboro has maintained remarkably low violent crime rates from 2010 to 2022, with only two reported incidents of aggravated assault during this period. The city's contribution to state crime statistics has been minimal, and the growing population has not led to an increase in violent crime. These trends depict a relatively safe community with infrequent occurrences of violent crime, positioning Toomsboro as a city with a positive safety profile in the context of violent crime statistics.
