Loading Content...
Violent Crime Trends in Aragon, Georgia: A Decade of Fluctuations
CATEGORY
Crime
DATA
Violent Crime
Median Rent
Racial Distributions
Population
Loading Content...
Crime
Violent Crime
Median Rent
Racial Distributions
Population
Aragon, located in Georgia, presents an interesting case study in violent crime trends over the past decade. With a population of 3,148 in 2022 and covering just 1.09 square miles, this small city has experienced fluctuations in both its population and crime rates. From 2012 to 2018, the total number of violent crimes varied, with a notable decrease from 6 incidents in 2016 to 0 in 2018, representing a 100% reduction. During this same period, the population decreased from 3,293 in 2012 to 3,126 in 2018, a decline of about 5%.
The murder rate in the city has remained consistently at zero throughout the recorded period from 2012 to 2018. This statistic is particularly positive when considering the fluctuations in population, as it indicates that the city has managed to maintain a murder-free environment despite demographic changes. The percentage of state murders attributable to the city has consequently remained at 0% throughout this period.
Regarding rape incidents, the data available is limited, with most years showing "No Data Available." This lack of information makes it challenging to draw meaningful conclusions about rape trends in the city. The absence of data could indicate either a lack of reporting or genuinely low occurrence rates, but without further information, it's impossible to determine which is the case.
Robbery trends in the city show minimal activity. From 2012 to 2018, only one robbery was reported, occurring in 2014. This single incident represented 0.02% of the state's robberies for that year. With a population of 2,774 in 2014, this translates to a rate of approximately 0.36 robberies per 1,000 residents. The rarity of robbery incidents suggests that property crime of this nature is not a significant concern for the city's residents.
Aggravated assault has been the most prevalent form of violent crime in the city. The number of incidents fluctuated over the years, peaking at 6 cases in 2016, which represented 0.05% of the state's aggravated assaults that year. With a population of 2,995 in 2016, this equates to about 2 assaults per 1,000 residents. However, by 2018, the number of aggravated assaults had dropped to zero, marking a significant improvement in public safety. This decline coincided with a slight decrease in population, from 3,418 in 2017 to 3,126 in 2018.
When examining correlations between violent crime and other factors, a notable relationship emerges with population density. As the population density decreased from 3,026 per square mile in 2012 to 2,872 in 2018, there was a general downward trend in violent crime, culminating in zero reported incidents in 2018. This suggests that lower population density may contribute to reduced violent crime rates in the city.
Applying predictive models based on the available data, it's reasonable to forecast that the city will likely maintain its low violent crime rates over the next five years, extending to 2029. The consistent zero murder rate and the recent trend of decreasing aggravated assaults suggest that violent crime will remain minimal, barring any significant changes in local conditions or demographics.
In conclusion, Aragon has demonstrated a positive trend in violent crime reduction, particularly in recent years. The city's ability to maintain zero murders and significantly reduce aggravated assaults, especially given its small size and population fluctuations, is noteworthy. These trends, if maintained, could position the city as a model for small-town safety and community policing strategies.
