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Property Crime Trends in Worthington, Kentucky: A Decade of Significant Improvement
CATEGORY
Crime
DATA
Property Crime
Percent Owner Occupied
Median Income
Population
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Crime
Property Crime
Percent Owner Occupied
Median Income
Population
Worthington, located in Kentucky, presents an interesting case study in property crime trends over the past decade. From 2010 to 2022, the city experienced fluctuations in total property crimes, with a notable overall decrease from 9 incidents in 2010 to just 1 in 2022, representing an 88.9% reduction. During this same period, the population showed slight variability, growing from 972 in 2010 to 940 in 2022, a modest decrease of 3.3%.
Burglary rates in the city have shown a significant downward trend over time. In 2010, there were 8 burglaries reported, which decreased to 0 by 2022. This represents a 100% reduction in burglary incidents. When considering the population, the burglary rate per 1,000 residents dropped from 8.23 in 2010 to 0 in 2022. The city's contribution to state-wide burglary statistics also diminished, from 0.04% in 2010 to 0% in 2022. This substantial decrease in burglaries suggests improved security measures or changing socioeconomic factors within the community.
Larceny-theft incidents have fluctuated over the years but show an overall increase. In 2010, there was 1 reported case, which rose to 5 cases in 2018, before decreasing to 1 case in 2022. This represents no net change over the 12-year period. The larceny-theft rate per 1,000 residents increased slightly from 1.03 in 2010 to 1.06 in 2022. The city's contribution to state-wide larceny-theft remained minimal, ranging from 0% to 0.02% during this period. These figures suggest that while larceny-theft hasn't significantly worsened, it remains a persistent issue in the community.
Motor vehicle theft in the city has been consistently low, with only one reported incident in 2012. This translates to a rate of 1.05 per 1,000 residents for that year. The city's contribution to state-wide motor vehicle theft statistics peaked at 0.02% in 2012 and has remained at 0% for most other years. The near-absence of motor vehicle thefts indicates that this particular crime is not a significant concern for the community.
Arson incidents have been non-existent in Worthington throughout the period from 2010 to 2022, with no reported cases. This consistent zero rate per 1,000 residents and 0% contribution to state-wide arson statistics suggests that arson is not a prevalent issue in the community.
Examining correlations between property crime trends and socioeconomic factors reveals some interesting patterns. As the median income increased from $32,764 in 2013 to $51,803 in 2022, there was a general decline in property crimes. This suggests a potential negative correlation between income levels and property crime rates. However, the relationship between property crime and home ownership is less clear, as the percentage of owner-occupied homes decreased from 73% in 2013 to 63% in 2022, while property crimes also generally decreased.
Applying predictive models to forecast property crime trends for the next five years (up to 2029) suggests a continuation of the overall decreasing trend. Based on the historical data, we can project that burglaries and motor vehicle thefts will likely remain at or near zero. Larceny-theft may continue to fluctuate but is expected to remain low, possibly averaging 1-2 incidents per year. The total property crime rate is forecasted to stabilize at around 1-3 incidents annually, barring any significant changes in socioeconomic conditions or law enforcement strategies.
In summary, Worthington has demonstrated a remarkable improvement in its property crime situation over the past decade. The most significant changes include the complete elimination of burglaries and the maintenance of very low rates for other property crimes. These trends, coupled with rising median incomes, suggest a positive trajectory for community safety and economic well-being in Worthington.
