Motor vehicle theft trends reveal an increase over time. From zero incidents in 2010, the number rose to 4 in 2022. This translates to an increase from 0 to 1.37 thefts per 1,000 people. The city's share of state motor vehicle thefts grew from 0% in 2010 to 0.03% in 2022, indicating a faster increase compared to state averages.

Arson data for the city shows no reported incidents from 2010 to 2022, consistently representing 0% of state arsons. This suggests that arson has not been a significant concern for the community during this period.

Examining correlations, there appears to be a moderate inverse relationship between property crime rates and median income. As median income increased from $28,820 in 2013 to $36,430 in 2022, the property crime rate per 1,000 people decreased from 6.87 to 5.48. However, the relationship is not perfectly linear, as evidenced by fluctuations in both variables over the years.

Applying predictive models to forecast property crime trends, we anticipate a slight increase in overall property crimes by 2029. Based on historical patterns and assuming current socioeconomic conditions persist, we project approximately 18-20 property crimes annually by 2029. This forecast suggests a marginal uptick from the 16 incidents reported in 2022, but still below the peak of 31 seen in 2015.

In summary, Middlesex has experienced a complex evolution in property crime patterns from 2010 to 2022. While burglary and larceny-theft have shown overall decreases, motor vehicle theft has increased. The city's contribution to state crime percentages has remained relatively low across all categories. The inverse relationship between rising median income and declining property crime rates suggests that economic improvements may have contributed to enhanced community safety. As the town continues to grow and develop, maintaining focus on economic opportunities and community-based crime prevention strategies will be crucial in shaping its future safety landscape.