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Property Crime Trends in Marthasville, Missouri: A City with Increasing Larceny-Theft
CATEGORY
Crime
DATA
Property Crime
Percent Owner Occupied
Median Income
Population
Loading Content...
Crime
Property Crime
Percent Owner Occupied
Median Income
Population
Marthasville, located in Missouri, presents an interesting case study in property crime trends over recent years. From 2010 to 2016, the total number of property crimes in the city increased from 0 to 11, representing a significant rise. During this same period, the population grew from 1,712 in 2010 to 1,862 in 2016, an increase of about 8.8%.
Burglary trends in the city show fluctuation over the years. In 2011, there was 1 reported burglary, which dropped to 0 in 2012 and 2013, then increased to 1 again in 2014 and 2016. The burglary rate per 1,000 people ranged from 0 to 0.59 during this period. Interestingly, the city's contribution to the state's total burglaries remained at 0% throughout, indicating that these incidents had minimal impact on statewide statistics.
Larceny-theft showed a more consistent upward trend. Starting with 2 incidents in 2011, it rose to 4 in 2012 and 2014, and further increased to 11 in 2015, maintaining that level in 2016. The rate per 1,000 people increased from 1.19 in 2011 to 5.91 in 2016. The city's contribution to the state's larceny-theft incidents grew from 0% to 0.01%, suggesting a slight increase in its share of statewide incidents.
Motor vehicle theft in the city was sporadic. There was 1 incident reported in 2011, none in 2012-2015, and then 1 again in 2016. The rate per 1,000 people fluctuated accordingly, from 0.59 in 2011 to 0.54 in 2016. The city's contribution to the state's motor vehicle thefts was 0.01% in 2011 and 2016, with 0% in the intervening years.
Arson incidents were not reported in the city during the period for which data is available, maintaining a constant rate of 0 per 1,000 people and 0% contribution to state totals.
Examining correlations, there appears to be a relationship between the increase in property crimes and population growth. As the population increased from 1,712 in 2010 to 1,862 in 2016, total property crimes rose from 0 to 11. Additionally, the rise in median income from $62,983 in 2013 to $61,789 in 2016 coincided with the increase in property crimes, particularly larceny-theft.
Applying predictive models based on the available data, it's projected that by 2029, Marthasville may see a continued gradual increase in property crimes, particularly in larceny-theft. The total number of property crimes could potentially reach 15-18 annually, with larceny-theft accounting for the majority.
In summary, Marthasville has experienced a notable increase in property crimes from 2010 to 2016, primarily driven by a rise in larceny-theft incidents. This trend correlates with population growth and changes in median income. While the city's contribution to statewide crime statistics remains minimal, the local impact of these crimes, particularly larceny-theft, has become more significant over time. The projected increase in property crimes over the next five years suggests a need for continued vigilance and potentially enhanced crime prevention strategies in Marthasville.
