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Property Crime Trends in Macedonia, Ohio: A Suburban Case Study
CATEGORY
Crime
DATA
Property Crime
Percent Owner Occupied
Median Income
Population
Loading Content...
Crime
Property Crime
Percent Owner Occupied
Median Income
Population
Macedonia, located in Ohio, presents an interesting case study in property crime trends. From 2015 to 2022, the city experienced fluctuations in total property crimes, with a notable decrease from 232 incidents in 2015 to 218 in 2022, representing a 6% reduction. During this same period, the population slightly decreased from 13,803 to 13,449, a 2.6% decline.
Burglary rates in the city have shown a significant downward trend. In 2015, there were 25 burglaries, which decreased to just 2 in 2022, representing a 92% reduction. When considering population trends, the burglary rate per 1,000 residents fell from 1.81 in 2015 to 0.15 in 2022. The city's share of state burglaries also decreased from 0.06% in 2015 to 0.01% in 2022. This substantial decline in burglaries suggests improved home security measures or more effective law enforcement strategies in the area.
Larceny-theft, the most common property crime in the city, showed more variability. In 2015, there were 203 larceny-theft incidents, which increased to 264 in 2018 before declining to 211 in 2022. This represents a 4% increase from 2015 to 2022. The rate per 1,000 residents increased from 14.71 in 2015 to 15.69 in 2022. Notably, the city's share of state larceny-thefts increased from 0.17% in 2015 to 0.21% in 2022, indicating that while the local population decreased, larceny-theft became a more significant issue relative to the state.
Motor vehicle theft in the city has shown an increase over the years. From 4 incidents in 2015, it rose to 5 in 2022, a 25% increase. The rate per 1,000 residents increased from 0.29 in 2015 to 0.37 in 2022. The city's share of state motor vehicle thefts also increased from 0.04% to 0.02% during this period. This trend suggests a growing concern for vehicle security in the area.
Arson cases in the city have been sporadic and low in number. There was 1 incident reported in 2015, 2017, and 2018, but no cases in other years. The rate per 1,000 residents for years with incidents was approximately 0.07. The city's share of state arson cases fluctuated between 0.06% and 0.12% in years with reported incidents. The low and inconsistent numbers make it difficult to establish a clear trend for arson in the city.
Examining correlations, there appears to be a relationship between the city's increasing median income and the overall decrease in property crimes. The median income rose from $92,897 in 2015 to $97,235 in 2022, coinciding with the general reduction in property crimes. Additionally, the stable and high home ownership rate, consistently above 90% throughout the period, may contribute to the low burglary rates.
Applying predictive models based on the observed trends, it's projected that by 2029 (five years from now), the city may see a further reduction in burglaries, potentially approaching zero incidents annually. Larceny-theft is likely to remain the primary property crime concern, with numbers potentially stabilizing around 200-220 incidents per year. Motor vehicle thefts may continue to show a slight upward trend, possibly reaching 7-8 incidents annually.
In summary, Macedonia has demonstrated a generally positive trend in property crime reduction, particularly in burglaries. The persistent challenge of larceny-theft and the slight increase in motor vehicle thefts suggest areas for continued focus in crime prevention strategies. The city's high median income and stable home ownership rates appear to contribute positively to its overall property crime landscape, positioning it as a relatively safe community within Ohio.
