Loading Content...
Property Crime Trends in Louisa, Kentucky: A Tale of Decline and Anomalies
CATEGORY
Crime
DATA
Property Crime
Percent Owner Occupied
Median Income
Population
Loading Content...
Crime
Property Crime
Percent Owner Occupied
Median Income
Population
Louisa, located in Kentucky, has experienced fluctuating property crime rates over the years, alongside notable population changes. From 2010 to 2022, the total number of property crimes decreased by 62.65%, from 83 to 31 incidents. During this same period, the population increased by 6.5%, from 5,844 to 6,224 residents.
Burglary rates in the city have shown a significant downward trend. In 2010, there were 23 burglaries, which decreased to 8 in 2022, representing a 65.22% reduction. When adjusted for population, the burglary rate fell from 3.94 per 1,000 people in 2010 to 1.29 per 1,000 in 2022. However, the city's share of state burglaries increased from 0.12% in 2010 to 0.16% in 2022, indicating that while local rates improved, they didn't decline as rapidly as the state average.
Larceny theft also experienced a substantial decline. The number of incidents dropped from 59 in 2010 to 18 in 2022, a 69.49% decrease. The rate per 1,000 people fell from 10.10 in 2010 to 2.89 in 2022. The city's proportion of state larceny thefts decreased from 0.10% to 0.07% over this period, suggesting a faster improvement compared to the state average.
Motor vehicle theft trends have been more volatile. While there was only 1 incident in 2010, this increased to 5 in 2022, a 400% increase. The rate per 1,000 people rose from 0.17 in 2010 to 0.80 in 2022. Notably, the city's share of state motor vehicle thefts increased significantly from 0.02% to 0.12%, indicating a worsening situation relative to state trends.
Arson data for the city shows no reported incidents throughout the entire period from 2010 to 2022, consistently representing 0% of state arson cases.
Examining correlations, there appears to be a moderate inverse relationship between median income and property crime rates. As median income increased from $34,669 in 2013 to $45,165 in 2022, overall property crime incidents decreased. Population density doesn't show a strong correlation with crime rates, as both have fluctuated independently over the years.
Applying predictive models based on historical trends, it's projected that by 2029 (five years from now), Louisa may see a further reduction in burglaries and larceny thefts, potentially reaching around 5-6 burglaries and 12-15 larceny thefts annually. However, motor vehicle thefts might continue to rise, possibly reaching 8-10 incidents per year. Overall property crime is expected to stabilize around 25-30 incidents annually.
In summary, Louisa has made significant progress in reducing most types of property crime over the past decade, particularly in burglaries and larceny thefts. However, the rise in motor vehicle thefts presents a growing concern. The city's improving economic conditions, as reflected by rising median incomes, may have contributed to the overall decline in property crimes. Moving forward, focused efforts on addressing motor vehicle thefts while maintaining the positive trends in other areas could further enhance public safety in Louisa.
