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Violent Crime Trends in Hawesville, Kentucky: A Decade of Exceptional Safety
CATEGORY
Crime
DATA
Violent Crime
Median Rent
Racial Distributions
Population
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Crime
Violent Crime
Median Rent
Racial Distributions
Population
Hawesville, located in Kentucky, presents an intriguing case study in violent crime trends. Over the past decade, this small city has experienced minimal violent crime, with only two reported incidents between 2011 and 2022. The total number of violent crimes remained at zero for most years, with single incidents occurring in 2014 and 2021. This represents a stable trend in overall violent crime, despite fluctuations in population from 2,414 in 2010 to 2,406 in 2022, peaking at 2,935 in 2013.
Examining the murder rate, Hawesville has maintained a consistent record of zero murders from 2011 to 2022. This translates to a murder rate of 0 per 1,000 people throughout the period, regardless of population changes. The city's contribution to the state's murder statistics has remained at 0% consistently, indicating a remarkably safe environment in terms of homicides.
Rape incidents in the city have been rare, with only two reported cases over the 12-year period. The first occurred in 2014, representing 0.13% of the state's total, and the second in 2021, accounting for 0.11% of state cases. In 2014, with a population of 2,784, the rape rate was approximately 0.36 per 1,000 residents. In 2021, with a population of 2,573, the rate was about 0.39 per 1,000. These isolated incidents, while concerning, do not indicate a persistent trend given their rarity.
Robbery statistics for Hawesville show zero incidents reported from 2011 to 2022. This consistent absence of robberies translates to a robbery rate of 0 per 1,000 residents throughout the period, regardless of population fluctuations. The city's contribution to state robbery figures has remained at 0%, suggesting a very low risk of robbery for residents and visitors alike.
Aggravated assault cases in the city have also remained at zero from 2011 to 2022. This translates to an aggravated assault rate of 0 per 1,000 people consistently over the years, irrespective of population changes. The city's contribution to state aggravated assault statistics has consistently been 0%, indicating a remarkably peaceful environment in terms of this type of violent crime.
When examining correlations between violent crime trends and other factors, the data reveals no strong correlations due to the extremely low crime rates. The two isolated incidents of violent crime (rapes in 2014 and 2021) do not appear to correlate significantly with changes in population density, median rent, or racial distribution. The city has maintained a predominantly white population (around 95-96%) throughout the period, with minimal fluctuations in other racial categories.
Applying predictive models to forecast violent crime trends for the next five years (up to 2029) is challenging due to the extremely low occurrence of violent crimes. Based on the historical data, it's reasonable to predict that Hawesville will likely continue to experience very low rates of violent crime, with the possibility of isolated incidents occurring sporadically. The forecast suggests an average of 0 to 1 violent crimes per year through 2029, maintaining the city's trend of exceptional safety.
In summary, Hawesville stands out as a remarkably safe community with respect to violent crime. The most significant discovery is the consistent absence of most types of violent crime over a 12-year period, with only two isolated incidents of rape. This trend, combined with the stable racial composition and fluctuating but relatively steady population, paints a picture of a small city that has maintained an exceptionally low crime environment. As we look towards 2029, the data suggests that Hawesville is likely to continue its trend of being one of the safest small cities in Kentucky in terms of violent crime.
