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Crime
Violent Crime
Median Rent
Racial Distributions
Population
Park Hills, located in Kentucky, presents an interesting case study in violent crime trends. From 2010 to 2022, the city experienced fluctuations in its total violent crime count, ranging from a low of 0 incidents in 2022 to a peak of 6 incidents in 2011. Over this period, the population grew from 2,629 in 2010 to 2,744 in 2022, representing a 4.37% increase.
Examining murder trends, Park Hills maintained a consistent record of zero murder cases throughout the entire period from 2010 to 2022. This stability in the absence of murders is particularly noteworthy given the population growth. The murder rate per 1,000 people remained at 0, and the city's contribution to the state's murder statistics was consistently 0% throughout the years.
Rape incidents in the city showed some variation over time. The first reported case was in 2013, with one incident, representing 0.15% of the state's total. The highest number of rape cases was recorded in 2020, with two incidents, accounting for 0.29% of the state's total. The rape rate per 1,000 people fluctuated, peaking at 0.75 per 1,000 in 2020. Despite these fluctuations, the overall numbers remained relatively low, with several years reporting no incidents.
Robbery trends in the city were sporadic. The highest number of robberies occurred in 2013 and 2015, with two incidents each year, representing 0.07% of the state's total. The robbery rate per 1,000 people reached its peak in these years at approximately 0.76 per 1,000. Many years reported no robberies, indicating that this crime type is not a persistent issue in the city.
Aggravated assault cases varied over the years, with the highest number occurring in 2011 and 2020, with five and two incidents respectively. In 2011, this represented 0.12% of the state's total aggravated assaults. The rate per 1,000 people was highest in 2011 at about 1.89 per 1,000. Several years saw no reported aggravated assaults, suggesting that while present, this crime is not a constant concern for the city.
When examining correlations, there appears to be a weak positive correlation between population density and violent crime rates. As the population density increased from 3,383 per square mile in 2010 to 3,531 per square mile in 2022, there was a slight upward trend in overall violent crime incidents, though this relationship is not consistently strong throughout the period.
Applying predictive models to forecast violent crime trends for the next five years (up to 2029), based on the historical data and recent trends, we might expect the following: Murder rates are likely to remain at or very close to zero, continuing the city's long-standing trend. Rape incidents may fluctuate between 0-2 cases per year, with an average around 1 case annually. Robbery cases are predicted to remain low, likely not exceeding 1-2 incidents per year, with many years potentially reporting zero cases. Aggravated assault cases may continue to fluctuate, potentially averaging 1-2 cases per year, with some years possibly seeing no incidents.
In summary, Park Hills has maintained relatively low violent crime rates despite its population growth. The most significant discoveries include the consistent absence of murders, the sporadic nature of other violent crimes, and the overall low contribution to state crime statistics. While there have been fluctuations in various crime categories, the total numbers remain low relative to the population size. The city's ability to maintain these low crime rates while experiencing population growth suggests effective law enforcement strategies or strong community cohesion in Park Hills.