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Property Crime Trends in Goodwell, Oklahoma: A Decade of Improvement
CATEGORY
Crime
DATA
Property Crime
Percent Owner Occupied
Median Income
Population
Loading Content...
Crime
Property Crime
Percent Owner Occupied
Median Income
Population
Goodwell in Oklahoma presents an interesting case study in property crime trends. From 2010 to 2022, the total number of property crimes fluctuated significantly, with a peak of 28 incidents in 2012 and a low of 2 incidents in 2011. Over this period, property crimes decreased by 40%, from 5 in 2010 to 3 in 2022. Concurrently, the population experienced modest growth, increasing by 14% from 1,230 in 2010 to 1,059 in 2022.
Burglary rates in the city have shown considerable volatility. The number of burglaries peaked at 15 in 2013, representing a rate of 11.69 per 1,000 residents. However, by 2022, burglaries had dropped to zero. The city's contribution to state burglary statistics fluctuated, reaching a high of 0.05% in 2013 before falling to 0% in 2022. This dramatic reduction suggests improved home security measures or more effective law enforcement strategies.
Larceny theft, the most common property crime in the city, also exhibited significant variations. The highest number of larceny thefts was recorded in 2012 with 25 incidents, translating to 20.02 per 1,000 residents. By 2022, this had decreased to just 2 incidents, or 1.89 per 1,000 residents. The city's share of state larceny thefts peaked at 0.04% in 2012 but fell to 0% by 2022. This substantial decrease could indicate improved community vigilance or enhanced retail security measures.
Motor vehicle theft in the city has remained relatively low throughout the period. The highest number of incidents was 2, occurring in both 2020 and 2021, representing rates of 1.75 and 1.73 per 1,000 residents, respectively. In 2022, there was 1 reported case, or 0.94 per 1,000 residents. The city's contribution to state motor vehicle theft statistics has been minimal, never exceeding 0.02% of the state total. These low numbers suggest that motor vehicle theft is not a significant concern for the community.
Arson cases in Goodwell have been non-existent throughout the entire period from 2010 to 2022, with zero incidents reported each year. This absence of arson cases is a positive indicator for community safety and property protection.
Examining correlations between property crime trends and demographic factors reveals some interesting patterns. There appears to be a moderate inverse relationship between property crime rates and median income. As median income increased from $34,142 in 2013 to $53,571 in 2021, property crime incidents generally decreased. Additionally, there's a weak positive correlation between homeownership rates and reduced property crime. The percentage of owner-occupied homes rose from 34% in 2013 to 48% in 2022, coinciding with an overall downward trend in property crimes.
Applying predictive models to forecast property crime trends for the next five years (up to 2029) suggests a continued decrease in overall property crime incidents. Based on the current trends, it's projected that the city may experience an average of 1-2 property crime incidents per year by 2029, with larceny theft likely remaining the most common type of property crime.
In summary, Goodwell has demonstrated a significant improvement in its property crime situation over the past decade. The substantial decreases in burglary and larceny theft, coupled with consistently low rates of motor vehicle theft and absence of arson, paint a picture of a community becoming safer over time. The correlations with rising median income and homeownership suggest that economic stability and community investment may play roles in this positive trend. As the city continues to grow and develop, maintaining these low crime rates will be crucial for the overall well-being and attractiveness of Goodwell.
