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Property Crime Trends in Clarkson, Kentucky: A Remarkable Decline
CATEGORY
Crime
DATA
Property Crime
Percent Owner Occupied
Median Income
Population
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Crime
Property Crime
Percent Owner Occupied
Median Income
Population
Clarkson, located in Kentucky, presents an intriguing case study in property crime trends. Over the years from 2010 to 2022, the city experienced fluctuations in both property crime rates and population. The total number of property crimes decreased from 6 in 2010 to 0 in 2022, representing a 100% reduction. During this same period, the population saw a slight decrease from 1,151 in 2010 to 1,106 in 2022, a 3.91% decline.
Burglary rates in the city showed significant variability over time. In 2010, there were 3 burglaries reported, which dropped to 0 in 2011 and 2012. A spike occurred in 2014 with 7 burglaries, representing 0.04% of the state's total burglaries that year. This equated to approximately 5.26 burglaries per 1,000 residents, a notable increase from previous years. However, from 2015 onwards, burglary rates returned to 0, indicating a complete elimination of reported burglaries in recent years. This trend suggests improved security measures or changes in local policing strategies.
Larceny-theft trends mirrored the overall property crime patterns. The city reported 3 larceny-thefts in 2010, which decreased to 1 in 2012. A slight increase to 5 cases was observed in 2014, representing 0.01% of the state's larceny-thefts. This equated to about 3.75 larceny-thefts per 1,000 residents. From 2015 to 2022, with the exception of a single case in 2019, larceny-theft reports dropped to 0. This sustained reduction could indicate effective community-based crime prevention efforts or improved economic conditions in the area.
Motor vehicle theft in the city has been relatively rare. Only one incident was reported in 2013, accounting for 0.02% of the state's motor vehicle thefts that year. This single case represented approximately 0.75 thefts per 1,000 residents. In all other years from 2010 to 2022, no motor vehicle thefts were reported. The consistently low rate of motor vehicle theft suggests that this particular crime is not a significant concern for the community.
Arson cases in Clarkson have been non-existent according to the available data. From 2010 to 2022, no arson incidents were reported, consistently representing 0% of the state's arson cases. This absence of arson cases indicates that fire-related property crimes are not a prevalent issue in the community.
Examining correlations between property crime trends and socioeconomic factors reveals some interesting patterns. The city's population density peaked in 2015 at 1,323 people per square mile, coinciding with a period of zero reported property crimes. Additionally, the median income showed a general downward trend from $35,650 in 2013 to $27,465 in 2022. Despite this decrease in median income, property crime rates remained low or non-existent in recent years, suggesting that factors other than income may be influencing crime rates in the city.
Applying predictive models to forecast property crime trends for the next five years (up to 2029) suggests a continuation of the current low crime rates. Given the consistent zero or near-zero property crime reports in recent years, it's reasonable to project that Clarkson will maintain very low property crime rates, barring any significant changes in socioeconomic conditions or local policies.
In summary, Clarkson has demonstrated a remarkable improvement in property crime rates over the past decade. The most significant discoveries include the complete elimination of reported burglaries and larceny-thefts in recent years, despite fluctuations in population and median income. This trend suggests a community that has effectively addressed property crime issues, potentially through a combination of community engagement, law enforcement strategies, and socioeconomic factors. The city's experience could serve as a model for similar-sized communities seeking to reduce property crime rates.
