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Property Crime Trends in Pioneer Village, Kentucky: A Decade of Increasing Challenges
CATEGORY
Crime
DATA
Property Crime
Percent Owner Occupied
Median Income
Population
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Crime
Property Crime
Percent Owner Occupied
Median Income
Population
Pioneer Village, located in Kentucky, has experienced fluctuating property crime rates alongside modest population growth over the past decade. From 2010 to 2022, the total number of property crimes increased from 4 to 21, representing a 425% increase. During this same period, the population grew from 3,133 to 3,180, a 1.5% increase.
Burglary trends in the city have been variable. In 2010, there was 1 reported burglary, which peaked at 10 in 2011, and then fluctuated in subsequent years. By 2022, burglaries stood at 6. The burglary rate per 1,000 people increased from 0.32 in 2010 to 1.89 in 2022. The city's share of state burglaries rose significantly, from 0.01% in 2010 to 0.12% in 2022, indicating a growing contribution to statewide burglary incidents despite its small size.
Larceny theft has shown a general upward trend. Starting with 3 incidents in 2010, it reached 13 in 2022, a 333% increase. The rate per 1,000 people rose from 0.96 to 4.09 over this period. The city's portion of state larceny thefts increased from 0.01% to 0.05%, suggesting a growing issue relative to its population size.
Motor vehicle theft in the city has seen a notable increase. From zero incidents in 2010, it rose to 2 in 2022. The rate per 1,000 people went from 0 to 0.63. More strikingly, the city's share of state motor vehicle thefts jumped from 0% to 0.05%, indicating a disproportionate growth in this crime category compared to state trends.
Arson incidents have remained consistently at zero throughout the reported period, from 2010 to 2022. This stability suggests effective fire prevention measures or prompt response to potential arson situations.
Examining correlations, there appears to be a relationship between property crime trends and racial distribution. As the white population percentage decreased from 98% in 2013 to 91% in 2022, property crimes generally increased. Additionally, the rise in median income from $53,454 in 2013 to $69,094 in 2022 coincided with fluctuations in property crime rates, suggesting a complex relationship between economic factors and crime.
Applying predictive models to forecast property crime trends, we anticipate a continued gradual increase in overall property crimes. By 2029, five years from now, the total number of property crimes could reach approximately 30 annually if current trends persist.
In summary, Pioneer Village has experienced a significant increase in property crimes, particularly in larceny theft and motor vehicle theft, despite modest population growth. The city's contribution to statewide crime statistics has grown disproportionately in some categories, suggesting localized factors influencing crime rates. These trends, coupled with demographic and economic changes, present challenges for local law enforcement and community leaders in addressing and mitigating property crime issues in the coming years.
