Motor vehicle theft in the city remained relatively low but fluctuated over the years. Starting with 4 incidents in 2010, it peaked at 6 in 2012, then decreased to 2 by 2022. The rate per 1,000 residents decreased slightly from 1.09 in 2010 to 0.66 in 2022. Interestingly, despite the decrease in absolute numbers, the city's share of state motor vehicle thefts decreased only slightly from 0.07% to 0.03%, suggesting that the reduction was in line with state trends.

Arson data for the city is limited, with only one reported incident in 2011, representing 0.18% of state arsons that year. For most other years, including 2022, arson data is either not available or reported as zero. This scarcity of data makes it difficult to draw meaningful conclusions about arson trends in the city.

Examining correlations between property crime and demographic factors reveals some interesting patterns. The decline in property crimes appears to coincide with a slight increase in median income, which rose from $35,932 in 2013 to $41,237 in 2022. Additionally, the consistently high percentage of owner-occupied housing, ranging from 81% to 85% throughout the period, may have contributed to the overall decrease in property crimes. The racial composition of the city remained remarkably stable, with the white population consistently making up 97-98% of residents from 2015 to 2022, which coincides with the period of declining property crime rates.

Applying predictive models based on the observed trends, it's projected that by 2029 (five years from now), the city may see a further reduction in overall property crimes. Larceny-theft is expected to continue its downward trend, potentially reaching single digits annually. Burglary rates may stabilize or slightly decrease, while motor vehicle theft is likely to remain low but consistent. However, these predictions should be interpreted cautiously due to the city's small population and the potential impact of external factors.

In summary, Addison has experienced a notable decrease in property crimes over the past decade, particularly in larceny-theft. This trend, coupled with stable homeownership rates and a slight increase in median income, suggests an improving security situation in the city. The disproportionate increase in burglary rates relative to state averages, however, may warrant targeted prevention efforts. As the city moves forward, maintaining community engagement and continuing to address economic factors could be key in sustaining and improving upon these positive trends in property crime reduction.