Loading Content...
Loading Content...
Property Value
Percent Owner Occupied
Housing Prices
Median Rent
Population
Smithfield, a neighborhood in Birmingham, Alabama, has experienced significant demographic and real estate changes over the past decade. This urban community has seen a notable shift in its population and housing dynamics, with fluctuating homeownership rates and evolving average home and rent prices.
The homeownership rate in Smithfield has shown modest fluctuations between 2013 and 2022. In 2013, the ownership rate stood at 23%, and by 2022, it had slightly increased to 24%. During this period, average home prices in the neighborhood demonstrated a substantial upward trend. In 2011, the average home price was $12,378, and by 2022, it had risen dramatically to $46,506, representing a 275% increase over 11 years.
The relationship between federal interest rates and homeownership rates in Smithfield presents an interesting case. Despite historically low interest rates between 2013 and 2021 (ranging from 0.08% to 0.40%), the homeownership rate remained relatively stable, only fluctuating between 17% and 24%. This suggests that factors beyond interest rates, such as local economic conditions or housing availability, may have played a more significant role in homeownership trends in this neighborhood.
Renter percentages in Smithfield have remained consistently high, ranging from 76% to 83% between 2013 and 2022. Interestingly, average rent prices have shown some volatility during this period. In 2013, the average rent was $457, which decreased to $370 in 2016 before rising again to $454 in 2022. This represents a modest overall decrease of 0.7% in average rent prices from 2013 to 2022, despite the high percentage of renters in the neighborhood. The population decline from 1,766 in 2013 to 1,304 in 2022 may have contributed to this relatively stable rent market, as decreased demand could have offset potential price increases.
Looking at more recent data, the average home price in Smithfield decreased to $42,558 in 2023 but rebounded to $46,043 in 2024. This recovery occurred despite a significant increase in federal interest rates, which rose from 5.02% in 2023 to 5.33% in 2024. This resilience in home prices suggests a strong local housing market that can withstand higher borrowing costs.
Applying predictive models to forecast 5-year trends, we anticipate that average home prices in Smithfield will continue to rise, albeit at a more moderate pace. The rapid growth seen in recent years is likely to stabilize, with projected increases of 3-5% annually. Average rent prices are expected to follow a similar trajectory, with modest annual increases of 2-4%, assuming the population stabilizes or begins to grow again.
In summary, Smithfield has experienced a remarkable increase in average home prices over the past decade, despite relatively stable homeownership rates. The rental market has remained dominant, with consistently high percentages of renters, while average rent prices have shown resilience in the face of population decline. The neighborhood's ability to maintain and even increase property values, despite rising interest rates, indicates a robust local real estate market with potential for continued growth in both the homeownership and rental sectors.