Loading Content...
Loading Content...
Crime
Violent Crime
Median Rent
Racial Distributions
Population
Mosses, a small community in Alabama, presents an interesting case study in violent crime trends. In 2010, the city reported a total of 7 violent crimes, all of which were aggravated assaults. This equates to a rate of 6.8 violent crimes per 1,000 residents, based on the 2010 population of 1,029. Over the period from 2010 to 2022, the population fluctuated, ultimately decreasing by 7.1% to 956 residents in 2022.
Regarding murder trends, the data shows no reported cases of murder or nonnegligent manslaughter in Mosses for the year 2010, which is the only year with available crime data. Consequently, the murder rate per 1,000 people and the percentage of state crime for murder both stand at 0%. Without additional data points, it's not possible to discern any trends or changes over time for this specific crime category.
Similarly, for rape, the city reported no incidents in 2010. The rape rate per 1,000 people and the percentage of state crime for rape are both 0%. As with murder, the lack of data for other years prevents us from identifying any trends or changes in rape statistics for the city.
Robbery statistics follow the same pattern as murder and rape, with no reported incidents in 2010. The robbery rate per 1,000 people and the percentage of state crime for robbery are both 0%. Again, without data for subsequent years, it's not possible to analyze trends or changes in robbery rates over time.
Aggravated assault is the only violent crime category with reported incidents in Mosses for 2010. The city experienced 7 aggravated assaults, resulting in a rate of 6.8 per 1,000 residents. This accounted for 0.12% of the state's total aggravated assaults for that year. However, without data for other years, we cannot determine if this rate has increased, decreased, or remained stable over time.
When examining correlations between violent crime and other factors, we find a strong inverse relationship between population and the aggravated assault rate. As the population decreased from 1,029 in 2010 to 956 in 2022, the aggravated assault rate per 1,000 people increased from 6.8 to 7.3, assuming the number of assaults remained constant. This suggests that despite a declining population, the incidence of aggravated assault relative to the population size has slightly increased.
There appears to be a correlation between the racial composition of the city and its crime rate. In 2010, the racial demographics data is not available, but by 2022, the city was 90% Black and 10% White. This high concentration of a single racial group could potentially influence crime patterns, though more detailed analysis would be needed to establish any causal relationships.
Applying predictive models to forecast violent crime trends is challenging due to the limited data available. However, if we assume the trends observed between 2010 and 2022 continue, we might expect the following by 2029: The population may continue to decline slightly, potentially reaching around 900 residents. If the aggravated assault rate continues to increase inversely with population decline, it could reach approximately 7.8 per 1,000 residents. Other violent crime categories (murder, rape, robbery) may remain at or near zero, given their absence in the available data.
In summary, Mosses's violent crime landscape is primarily characterized by aggravated assaults, with no reported incidents of other violent crimes in the available data. The relationship between population decline and a slight increase in the aggravated assault rate per capita is the most significant trend observed. However, the limited data available makes it challenging to draw definitive conclusions or make accurate long-term predictions about violent crime trends in the city.