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Glendale, Missouri: Stable Violent Crime Trends in a Growing Small City
CATEGORY
Crime
DATA
Violent Crime
Median Rent
Racial Distributions
Population
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Crime
Violent Crime
Median Rent
Racial Distributions
Population
Glendale, Missouri, a small community of 1.3 square miles, has experienced relatively stable violent crime rates over the past decade, with some fluctuations in specific crime categories. From 2010 to 2022, the total number of violent crimes ranged from 0 to 3 incidents per year, showing no clear upward or downward trend. During this same period, the population grew from 5,883 in 2010 to 6,131 in 2022, an increase of about 4.2%.
Murder rates in the city have remained exceptionally low, with only one year (2012) reporting any murders. In 2012, there were 2 murders, which represented 0.64% of the state's total murders that year. This isolated incident resulted in a rate of 0.34 murders per 1,000 people. In all other years, the murder rate was zero. Given the small population, even a single incident can significantly impact the per capita rate, but the overall trend suggests murder is an extremely rare occurrence in this community.
Rape incidents have been similarly infrequent. The data shows only two reported rapes over the 13-year period, both occurring in 2017 and 2018, with one case each year. This translates to a rate of 0.17 rapes per 1,000 people in those years, representing 0.05% of the state's total rapes. The rarity of these incidents makes it challenging to identify a meaningful trend, but it's clear that rape is not a persistent problem in the city.
Robbery trends show a slight increase in recent years. From 2010 to 2018, there were no reported robberies. However, in 2019, there was 1 robbery (0.17 per 1,000 people), and in 2020, there were 2 robberies (0.33 per 1,000 people). These incidents represented 0.02% and 0.05% of the state's total robberies in those years, respectively. While this might suggest a slight upward trend, the numbers are too small to draw definitive conclusions about a long-term pattern.
Aggravated assault has been the most consistently reported violent crime in the city. The number of incidents fluctuated between 0 and 3 per year from 2010 to 2018. The highest rate was in 2013, with 3 assaults (0.51 per 1,000 people), representing 0.02% of the state's total. Interestingly, there were no reported aggravated assaults in 2019 and 2020, the most recent years with data. This could indicate an improving trend, but more recent data would be needed to confirm this.
When examining correlations, there appears to be a weak positive relationship between population growth and the number of violent crimes. As the population increased from 5,883 in 2010 to 6,131 in 2022, there was a slight overall increase in the total number of violent crimes, though the relationship is not strong or consistent year-to-year.
Applying predictive models to forecast violent crime trends for the next five years (up to 2029) is challenging due to the low and inconsistent number of incidents. However, based on the historical data, we can cautiously predict that violent crime rates will likely remain low, potentially fluctuating between 0 to 3 total incidents per year. The city may continue to see occasional robberies or aggravated assaults, but murders and rapes are likely to remain rare occurrences.
In summary, Glendale demonstrates a pattern of very low violent crime rates across all categories. Despite a modest population increase, the city has maintained a relatively safe environment with only sporadic incidents of violent crime. The most notable trend is the recent emergence of robberies, which will be important to monitor in the coming years. Overall, the violent crime data suggests that Glendale remains a comparatively safe community within Missouri, with violent crime rates that are consistently well below state averages.
