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Brunswick, Ohio: A Decade of Declining Property Crime Amidst Population Growth
CATEGORY
Crime
DATA
Property Crime
Percent Owner Occupied
Median Income
Population
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Crime
Property Crime
Percent Owner Occupied
Median Income
Population
Brunswick, located in Ohio, has experienced notable changes in its property crime landscape over recent years. From 2011 to 2022, the total number of property crimes decreased significantly from 372 to 182, representing a 51.1% reduction. During this same period, the city's population grew from 38,560 to 40,002, an increase of 3.7%.
Burglary incidents in the city have shown a consistent downward trend. In 2011, there were 51 reported burglaries, which dropped to just 8 in 2022, marking an 84.3% decrease. When adjusted for population, the burglary rate fell from 1.32 per 1,000 residents in 2011 to 0.20 per 1,000 in 2022. The city's share of state burglaries also decreased from 0.07% in 2011 to 0.04% in 2022. This substantial reduction in burglaries suggests improved home security measures or more effective law enforcement strategies in the area.
Larceny-theft, the most common property crime in the city, also saw a significant decline. Reports dropped from 305 in 2011 to 157 in 2022, a 48.5% decrease. The rate per 1,000 residents fell from 7.91 in 2011 to 3.92 in 2022. However, the city's proportion of state larceny-theft cases decreased only slightly from 0.20% to 0.15% over this period, indicating that the reduction in this crime category was somewhat in line with statewide trends.
Motor vehicle theft trends have been more variable. There were 16 reported cases in 2011, which increased to 17 in 2022, a 6.25% rise. The rate per 1,000 residents remained relatively stable, moving from 0.41 in 2011 to 0.42 in 2022. The city's share of state motor vehicle thefts decreased slightly from 0.10% to 0.07%. This suggests that while other property crimes have decreased, motor vehicle theft remains a persistent issue in the city.
Arson cases in the city have fluctuated over the years, with no clear trend. The data shows 0 cases in 2011 and 2022, but there were instances of 1 or 2 cases in some intervening years. The city's share of state arson cases varied widely, from 0% to 0.27%, indicating that arson is a sporadic issue rather than a consistent problem.
Examining correlations between property crime trends and demographic factors reveals some interesting patterns. As the median income in the city increased from $70,586 in 2013 to $79,134 in 2022, there was a corresponding decrease in overall property crime rates. This suggests a potential negative correlation between income levels and property crime incidence. Additionally, the slight decrease in home ownership rates from 0.79 in 2013 to 0.76 in 2022 coincided with the overall reduction in property crimes, particularly burglaries.
Applying predictive models to forecast property crime trends for the next five years (up to 2029) suggests a continued gradual decline in overall property crime rates. Burglary rates are expected to stabilize at their current low levels, while larceny-theft may continue to decrease slightly. Motor vehicle theft rates are predicted to remain relatively constant or potentially increase marginally if current trends persist.
In summary, Brunswick has experienced a significant overall reduction in property crimes from 2011 to 2022, particularly in burglaries and larceny-theft. This positive trend has occurred despite modest population growth, suggesting effective crime prevention strategies. The city's share of state property crimes has generally decreased, indicating improvements in public safety relative to the rest of Ohio. However, the persistence of motor vehicle thefts and the sporadic nature of arson cases highlight areas that may require continued attention from law enforcement and community initiatives.
