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Wilson, NC: Violent Crime Trends Reveal Complex Safety Landscape
CATEGORY
Crime
DATA
Violent Crime
Median Rent
Racial Distributions
Population
Loading Content...
Crime
Violent Crime
Median Rent
Racial Distributions
Population
Wilson, located in North Carolina, presents an interesting case study in violent crime trends over the past decade. From 2010 to 2022, the city experienced fluctuations in its total violent crime numbers, with a notable decrease from 282 incidents in 2010 to 245 in 2022, representing a 13.12% reduction. During this same period, the population decreased from 55,563 in 2010 to 54,424 in 2022, a 2.05% decline.
Murder rates in the city have shown variability over the years. In 2010, there were 4 murders, which increased to 8 in 2021 before decreasing to 5 in 2022. The murder rate per 1,000 people rose from 0.072 in 2010 to 0.092 in 2022, indicating a slight increase in relation to population. The city's percentage of state murders fluctuated, peaking at 2.03% in 2011 and dropping to 0.87% in 2022. This suggests that while the absolute number of murders has remained relatively stable, the city's contribution to state-wide murders has decreased in recent years.
Rape incidents have shown considerable variation. In 2013, there were 9 reported rapes, which increased to 18 in 2019 before decreasing to 6 in 2022. The rape rate per 1,000 people increased from 0.158 in 2013 to 0.110 in 2022. The city's percentage of state rapes decreased from 0.80% in 2010 to 0.31% in 2022, indicating a significant reduction in the city's contribution to state-wide rape statistics.
Robbery trends show a clear downward trajectory. In 2010, there were 80 robberies, which decreased to 41 in 2022, a 48.75% reduction. The robbery rate per 1,000 people dropped from 1.440 in 2010 to 0.753 in 2022. Despite this decrease, the city's percentage of state robberies remained relatively stable, fluctuating between 0.74% and 1.53% over the years, suggesting that the decline in robberies is part of a broader state-wide trend.
Aggravated assault incidents have fluctuated but show an overall increase. In 2010, there were 189 aggravated assaults, which rose to 225 in 2021 before decreasing slightly to 193 in 2022. The aggravated assault rate per 1,000 people increased from 3.402 in 2010 to 3.546 in 2022. However, the city's percentage of state aggravated assaults decreased from 1.41% in 2010 to 0.80% in 2022, indicating that while assaults have increased locally, they have not kept pace with state-wide increases.
There appears to be a correlation between population density and violent crime rates. As the population density decreased from 1,778 per square mile in 2010 to 1,741 in 2022, there was a corresponding decrease in overall violent crime. Additionally, there seems to be a relationship between racial demographics and crime trends. As the Black population percentage increased slightly from 42% in 2013 to 45% in 2022, and the Hispanic population grew from 7% to 13%, there were fluctuations in violent crime rates, suggesting a complex interplay between demographic changes and crime patterns.
Applying predictive models based on these trends, it's projected that by 2029, Wilson may see a continued slight decrease in overall violent crime rates. Murder rates are likely to remain relatively stable, while robbery rates may continue their downward trend. Aggravated assaults could potentially increase slightly, following the current trend.
In summary, Wilson has experienced a complex evolution of violent crime over the past decade. While overall violent crime and certain categories like robbery have decreased, others such as aggravated assault have shown increases. The city's contribution to state-wide crime statistics has generally decreased across most categories, suggesting improved local crime management relative to state trends. These changes occur against a backdrop of slight population decline and shifting demographics, highlighting the multifaceted nature of crime trends in urban environments.
