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Violent Crime Trends in Walthourville, Georgia: A City with Zero Murders
CATEGORY
Crime
DATA
Violent Crime
Median Rent
Racial Distributions
Population
Loading Content...
Crime
Violent Crime
Median Rent
Racial Distributions
Population
Walthourville, a city in Georgia, has experienced notable fluctuations in its violent crime rates in recent years, alongside changing population dynamics. From 2013 to 2016, the total number of violent crimes increased from 11 to 18, representing a 63.6% increase. During this same period, the population decreased slightly from 4,413 to 4,406, a decline of 0.16%.
The data available for murder and nonnegligent manslaughter shows no occurrences in Walthourville from 2013 to 2016. This consistent zero rate translates to 0 incidents per 1,000 people and maintains a 0% share of the state's total for this crime category throughout the observed period. The absence of murders in a city of this size suggests a relatively safe environment in terms of lethal violence.
Robbery trends in the city show an increase over time. In 2013, there were no reported robberies, but by 2014, the number rose to 3, and further increased to 4 in 2016. This represents a rise from 0 to 0.91 robberies per 1,000 residents between 2013 and 2016. The city's share of state robberies also increased from 0% in 2013 to 0.07% in 2016, indicating a growing contribution to the state's overall robbery statistics, albeit still at a relatively low level.
Aggravated assault, the most common violent crime in Walthourville, showed fluctuations. In 2013, there were 10 incidents, which increased sharply to 24 in 2014, before decreasing to 14 in 2016. This translates to rates of 2.27, 5.35, and 3.18 per 1,000 residents in 2013, 2014, and 2016 respectively. The city's share of state aggravated assaults rose from 0.1% in 2013 to 0.25% in 2014, then decreased to 0.13% in 2016, indicating volatile but generally increasing contribution to state figures.
Examining correlations, there appears to be a moderate positive relationship between population density and violent crime rates. As population density increased from 1,148 per square mile in 2013 to 1,166 in 2014, violent crimes rose from 11 to 28. However, when density decreased to 1,146 in 2016, violent crimes also decreased to 18, suggesting a potential link between population concentration and crime incidents.
Applying predictive models based on the available data, it's projected that by 2029, Walthourville may see a slight increase in violent crimes, potentially reaching around 22-25 incidents annually. This forecast assumes current trends continue and no significant interventions or changes in socio-economic factors occur.
In summary, Walthourville has experienced varied trends in violent crime, with robbery showing an upward trajectory and aggravated assault fluctuating but generally increasing. The city's contribution to state crime statistics, while small, has grown in certain categories. These trends, coupled with demographic changes, suggest a need for continued vigilance and targeted crime prevention strategies to maintain and improve public safety in Walthourville.
