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Crime
Violent Crime
Median Rent
Racial Distributions
Population
Nahunta, located in Georgia, presents an interesting case study in violent crime trends over the past decade. With a population of 1,601 in 2022, this small city has experienced fluctuations in both its population and crime rates. From 2010 to 2022, the total number of violent crimes varied significantly, ranging from a high of 6 in 2010 to periods of no reported violent crimes in 2016, 2018, 2019, and 2021. During this same period, the population grew from 1,613 in 2010 to 1,601 in 2022, a slight overall decrease of 0.74%.
Analyzing murder trends in the city reveals a consistently low rate. Throughout the reported years, there were no recorded murders, maintaining a 0% rate per 1,000 people and 0% of the state's total murders. This absence of murders suggests a relatively safe environment in terms of the most severe form of violent crime.
Rape incidents in the city were also infrequent, with only one reported case in 2017. This single incident represented 0.09% of the state's total rapes that year and a rate of 0.50 per 1,000 people based on the 2017 population of 1,988. The rarity of reported rapes indicates that sexual violence is not a prevalent issue in the community, though the single occurrence warrants attention to prevention and support services.
Robbery trends show minimal occurrences, with only two reported cases over the analyzed period. One robbery was reported in 2014 and another in 2017, each representing 0.02% of the state's total robberies in their respective years. The robbery rate per 1,000 people was 0.55 in 2014 and 0.50 in 2017, reflecting the population changes. The low frequency of robberies suggests that property-related violent crimes are not a significant concern for residents.
Aggravated assault was the most common form of violent crime in the city, though still occurring at low rates. The highest number of aggravated assaults was recorded in 2010 with 6 incidents, representing 0.05% of the state's total. This translates to a rate of 3.72 per 1,000 people. The number of aggravated assaults decreased in subsequent years, with 1 incident reported in 2012, 2014, and 2017, each representing 0.01% of the state's total. The rate per 1,000 people for these years ranged from 0.53 to 0.58, depending on the population fluctuations.
Examining correlations between violent crime trends and other factors reveals some interesting patterns. The periods of zero reported violent crimes (2016, 2018, 2019, and 2021) coincided with fluctuations in population density and median rent. For instance, the population density decreased from 705 per square mile in 2017 to 652 in 2018, while median rent increased from $537 to $551 during the same period. This suggests that changes in community composition and economic factors may have influenced crime rates, though the relationship is not consistently strong across all years.
Applying predictive models to forecast violent crime trends for the next five years (up to 2029) is challenging due to the inconsistent nature of the data. However, based on the overall low crime rates and the frequent occurrence of years with no reported violent crimes, it's reasonable to project that the city will continue to experience low levels of violent crime. The forecast suggests that there may be sporadic incidents of aggravated assault or other violent crimes, but they are likely to remain infrequent and below one incident per year on average.
In summary, Nahunta demonstrates a pattern of low violent crime rates with occasional spikes in specific categories, particularly aggravated assault. The absence of murders, infrequent occurrences of rape and robbery, and the overall downward trend in violent crimes paint a picture of a relatively safe small city. While the relationship between crime rates and socioeconomic factors is not consistently strong, the data suggests that community dynamics play a role in maintaining low crime levels. As the city moves forward, maintaining community engagement and preventive measures will be crucial in preserving the low violent crime rates that Nahunta has largely enjoyed over the past decade.