Robbery trends in Talladega show a decrease over time, from 9 cases in 2010 to 2 cases in 2022. This represents a decline from 0.43 to 0.10 robberies per 1,000 people. The city's contribution to state robbery cases decreased from 0.3% in 2010 to 0.15% in 2022. The highest number of robberies (24) occurred in 2016, accounting for 0.78% of the state's total that year.

Aggravated assault cases in Talladega have shown an overall increase, rising from 79 in 2010 to 84 in 2022. This represents a change from 3.79 to 4.33 cases per 1,000 people. The city's contribution to state aggravated assault cases decreased slightly from 1.32% in 2010 to 0.74% in 2022. The peak was in 2015 with 109 cases, representing 0.95% of the state's total.

A correlation appears to exist between Talladega's changing racial demographics and violent crime trends. As the Black population percentage increased from 45% in 2013 to 51% in 2022, there was a general upward trend in violent crimes, particularly in murder and rape cases. Simultaneously, the White population decreased from 50% to 41%, which coincided with these crime rate changes.

Predictive models forecast a continued slight increase in overall violent crime rates for Talladega over the next seven years, up to 2029. Murder rates are expected to stabilize around 2-3 cases per year, rape incidents may continue to fluctuate but with a potential upward trend, robberies are likely to remain low, and aggravated assaults may see a modest increase.

In summary, Talladega has experienced a complex evolution of violent crime patterns over the past decade. While some categories like robbery have shown improvement, others such as murder and rape have seen concerning increases. These trends, coupled with demographic shifts and population decline, suggest that the city faces ongoing challenges in addressing violent crime. The forecasted trends indicate a need for targeted interventions and community-based strategies to mitigate future increases in violent crime rates.