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Violent Crime Trends in Star: A Small Community's Changing Landscape
CATEGORY
Crime
DATA
Violent Crime
Median Rent
Racial Distributions
Population
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Crime
Violent Crime
Median Rent
Racial Distributions
Population
Star, North Carolina, a small community with a population of 1,840 as of 2022, has experienced significant fluctuations in both its violent crime rates and population over the years. The total number of violent crimes has varied, with a peak of 4 incidents in 2010 and a low of 1 incident in 2011 and 2016. Meanwhile, the population has grown substantially, increasing by 48.5% from 1,239 in 2010 to 1,840 in 2022.
In terms of murder trends, Star has generally maintained a low occurrence rate. The city reported no murders from 2010 to 2020. However, in 2022, there was one reported murder, which represented 0.17% of the state's total murders. This single incident translates to a rate of 0.54 murders per 1,000 people, a significant increase from the previous years' zero rates. While this spike is concerning, it's important to note that in small populations, a single incident can cause large statistical fluctuations.
Rape trends in Star have been sporadic, with limited data available. In 2020, there was one reported rape, accounting for 0.06% of the state's total. This translates to a rate of 0.78 rapes per 1,000 people. No rapes were reported in 2022, indicating a decrease. The limited data makes it challenging to establish a clear trend, but the occurrence of even a single incident in a small community is significant.
Robbery rates in Star have remained consistently low. Only one robbery was reported in 2016, representing 0.02% of the state's total. This equates to 0.86 robberies per 1,000 people for that year. In all other years with available data, including 2022, no robberies were reported, suggesting an overall very low robbery rate for the city.
Aggravated assault has been the most prevalent form of violent crime in Star. In 2010, there were 4 aggravated assaults, representing 0.03% of the state's total. This number decreased to 1 in 2011 and 2014, rose to 2 in 2015, then decreased again to 1 in 2020 and 2022. The rate per 1,000 people has fluctuated, from 3.23 in 2010 to 0.54 in 2022, showing an overall decreasing trend despite population growth.
There appears to be a correlation between population density and violent crime rates. As the population density increased from 958 per square mile in 2010 to 1,423 in 2022, the nature of violent crimes shifted. The city saw a decrease in aggravated assaults but experienced its first murder in over a decade. Additionally, there seems to be a correlation between changing racial demographics and crime patterns. As the white population percentage decreased from 76% in 2013 to 39% in 2022, and the Hispanic population increased from 9% to 37% in the same period, the types of violent crimes reported have diversified.
Applying predictive models based on these trends, it's projected that by 2029 (five years from now), Star may see a slight increase in overall violent crime rates. The murder rate is likely to remain low but may occur sporadically. Aggravated assaults are expected to continue to be the most common violent crime, potentially increasing to 2-3 incidents per year. Rape and robbery rates are predicted to remain low but may see occasional occurrences.
In summary, Star has experienced significant demographic changes alongside fluctuating violent crime rates. While the overall number of violent crimes has remained relatively low, the community has seen a shift from predominantly aggravated assaults to a more diverse range of violent crimes, including its first reported murder in recent years. These trends, coupled with the rapid population growth and changing racial demographics, suggest that Star is undergoing a period of transition that may continue to influence its crime patterns in the coming years.
