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Violent Crime Trends in Stantonsburg, NC: A Study of Fluctuations Amidst Population Growth
CATEGORY
Crime
DATA
Violent Crime
Median Rent
Racial Distributions
Population
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Crime
Violent Crime
Median Rent
Racial Distributions
Population
Stantonsburg, located in North Carolina, presents an interesting case study in violent crime trends over recent years. From 2020 to 2022, the total number of violent crimes in this small town fluctuated, starting at 5 in 2020, dropping to 0 in 2021, and then rising to 4 in 2022. This represents a 20% decrease in violent crimes over the three-year period. Interestingly, during this same timeframe, the population increased from 1,549.5 in 2020 to 1,648 in 2022, a growth of approximately 6.4%.
Regarding murder trends, Stantonsburg reported no murders in the years 2020, 2021, and 2022. This consistent zero murder rate is notable, especially considering the population growth. The murder rate per 1,000 people remained at 0 throughout this period, and the percentage of state crime for murder was also consistently 0.00%. This absence of murders suggests a relatively safe environment in terms of lethal violence.
Rape incidents in the city showed a declining trend. In 2020, there was 1 reported rape, which represented 0.06% of the state's total rape cases. However, in 2021 and 2022, no rapes were reported. The rape rate per 1,000 people decreased from approximately 0.65 in 2020 to 0 in the following years. This decline in rape cases, even as the population grew, could be seen as a positive development for public safety in the area.
Robbery statistics for Stantonsburg remained consistently at zero for all three years from 2020 to 2022. The robbery rate per 1,000 people was 0, and the percentage of state robberies attributed to the town was also 0.00%. This absence of robberies, maintained even as the population increased, suggests that property-related violent crimes are not a significant issue in this community.
Aggravated assault trends showed some fluctuation. In 2020, there were 4 aggravated assaults, representing 0.02% of the state's total. This number dropped to 0 in 2021 but returned to 4 in 2022, again accounting for 0.02% of the state's aggravated assaults. The rate per 1,000 people was approximately 2.58 in 2020, dropped to 0 in 2021, and then rose to about 2.43 in 2022. Despite the population increase, the number of aggravated assaults in 2022 matched that of 2020, indicating a slight decrease in the per capita rate.
When examining correlations between violent crime trends and other factors, a notable relationship emerges with population density. As the population density decreased from 2,635 per square mile in 2020 to 2,573 in 2021, violent crimes dropped to zero. However, when the density increased to 2,803 in 2022, violent crimes rose again to 4. This suggests a possible correlation between population density and violent crime rates in the town.
Applying predictive models to forecast violent crime trends for the next five years (up to 2029), we might expect the number of violent crimes to stabilize around 4-5 per year, assuming population growth and density continue their current trajectory. The absence of murders and robberies is likely to persist, while aggravated assaults may continue to be the primary contributor to violent crime statistics.
In summary, Stantonsburg has experienced fluctuations in violent crime rates that seem to correlate with changes in population density. The most significant findings include the consistent absence of murders and robberies, a decline in rape cases, and the persistence of aggravated assaults as the main form of violent crime. These trends, coupled with the town's growing population, suggest that while Stantonsburg is not immune to violent crime, it maintains a relatively stable and low violent crime rate compared to many other urban areas.
