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Violent Crime Trends in Stanton, Kentucky: A Decade of Fluctuation Amidst Growth
CATEGORY
Crime
DATA
Violent Crime
Median Rent
Racial Distributions
Population
Loading Content...
Crime
Violent Crime
Median Rent
Racial Distributions
Population
Stanton, located in Kentucky, presents an intriguing case study in violent crime trends. Over the period from 2010 to 2022, the total number of violent crimes fluctuated, reaching a peak of 6 incidents in 2022, marking a 500% increase from the single incident reported in 2010. This significant rise in violent crime occurred against a backdrop of modest population growth, with the city's population increasing by 2.46% from 3,820 in 2010 to 3,914 in 2022.
In examining murder trends, Stanton has maintained a consistently low rate, with no reported murders throughout the entire period from 2010 to 2022. This stability in the absence of homicides is notable, especially considering the population growth. The murder rate per 1,000 people has remained at zero, and consequently, the city's contribution to the state's murder statistics has also been nil. This absence of murders speaks positively to the overall safety of the community, despite increases in other violent crime categories.
Rape incidents in Stanton have shown sporadic occurrences. The city reported no rapes from 2010 to 2017, but then recorded one incident each in 2018 and 2020. These incidents translate to rates of 0.25 and 0.27 per 1,000 people respectively. In terms of the state's total, these incidents represented 0.12% of Kentucky's rapes in 2018 and 0.15% in 2020. The appearance of rape cases in recent years, while concerning, remains relatively low in frequency.
Robbery trends in Stanton have been variable. The city experienced no robberies in most years, with exceptions in 2013, 2015, 2016, 2021, and 2022, when one to three incidents were reported. The peak was in 2016 with 3 robberies, equating to 0.77 per 1,000 residents and representing 0.1% of the state's robberies that year. By 2022, there was one robbery, or 0.26 per 1,000 people, accounting for 0.14% of Kentucky's robberies. This fluctuation suggests that while robbery is not a persistent issue, it remains an occasional concern for law enforcement.
Aggravated assault has been the most prevalent form of violent crime in Stanton. The number of incidents has varied year to year, with a notable increase from 1 case in 2010 to 5 cases in 2022. This represents a rise from 0.26 to 1.28 incidents per 1,000 people over this period. The city's contribution to the state's aggravated assault total has also grown, from 0.02% in 2010 to 0.3% in 2022. This upward trend in aggravated assaults is significant and warrants attention from local authorities.
Examining correlations, there appears to be a moderate positive relationship between population density and violent crime rates. As the population density increased from 1,678 per square mile in 2010 to 1,719 in 2022, violent crimes also showed an overall upward trend. Additionally, there seems to be a weak positive correlation between median rent and violent crime rates, with both generally increasing over time. The median rent rose from $468 in 2013 to $666 in 2022, coinciding with the increase in violent crimes.
Applying predictive models to forecast violent crime trends, it's projected that by 2029 (five years from now), Stanton may see its violent crime incidents increase to approximately 8-10 per year if current trends continue. This forecast suggests a potential 33-67% increase from the 2022 figure of 6 incidents.
In summary, Stanton has experienced a notable increase in violent crimes, particularly in aggravated assaults, over the past decade. While murder rates have remained at zero, the rise in other violent crime categories, especially when viewed against the backdrop of modest population growth, indicates a changing safety landscape in the city. The correlation between increasing population density and violent crime rates suggests that as the city continues to grow, addressing public safety concerns should remain a priority for local policymakers and law enforcement agencies.
