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Violent Crime Trends in Taylor Mill, Kentucky: A Decade of Low Rates and Fluctuations
CATEGORY
Crime
DATA
Violent Crime
Median Rent
Racial Distributions
Population
Loading Content...
Crime
Violent Crime
Median Rent
Racial Distributions
Population
Taylor Mill, Kentucky, a small city located in Kenton County, has experienced fluctuating violent crime rates over the past decade. From 2010 to 2022, the total number of violent crimes ranged from a low of 0 in 2020 to a high of 8 in 2012. During this period, the population grew from 5,440 in 2010 to 5,855 in 2022, representing a 7.6% increase.
The city has maintained a consistently low murder rate, with no reported cases of murder or non-negligent manslaughter from 2010 to 2022. This trend has remained stable despite population growth, resulting in a murder rate of 0 per 1,000 people throughout the period. The percentage of state murders attributable to Taylor Mill has consistently been 0%, indicating that the city has not contributed to Kentucky's overall murder statistics.
Rape incidents in the city have fluctuated over the years. The highest number of reported rapes was 2 in both 2017 and 2018, while several years saw no reported cases. The rape rate per 1,000 people reached its peak in 2017 and 2018 at approximately 0.34. The city's contribution to the state's rape statistics varied, with the highest percentage being 0.23% in 2018. However, in recent years (2019-2022), there have been no reported rape cases, suggesting a positive trend in this category of violent crime.
Robbery trends in Taylor Mill have shown some variation. The highest number of robberies (3) occurred in 2012, while many years saw no reported cases. The robbery rate per 1,000 people peaked in 2012 at approximately 0.52. The city's contribution to state robbery statistics was highest in 2022 at 0.14%, despite only one reported case that year. This suggests that while robberies are relatively rare in the city, they can have a noticeable impact on state-level statistics due to the city's small size.
Aggravated assault has been the most prevalent form of violent crime in Taylor Mill. The highest number of aggravated assaults (5) was reported in 2012, with the rate per 1,000 people peaking at approximately 0.87 that year. The city's contribution to state aggravated assault statistics has varied, reaching its highest at 0.13% in 2012. In recent years, the number of aggravated assaults has remained relatively low, with 2 cases reported in 2022, representing 0.12% of the state's total.
Examining correlations between violent crime trends and other factors reveals some interesting patterns. There appears to be a weak positive correlation between population density and violent crime rates, with years of higher density (such as 2015 with 1,004 people per square mile) generally seeing more violent crime incidents. However, this correlation is not consistent across all years.
Applying predictive models to forecast violent crime trends for the next seven years (up to 2029) suggests a potential stabilization of violent crime rates at low levels. Based on the recent trends of low crime numbers and the city's consistent population growth, it's projected that Taylor Mill may continue to experience sporadic violent crime incidents, but likely remaining in the single digits annually.
In summary, Taylor Mill has maintained relatively low violent crime rates over the past decade, with no murders, fluctuating but generally low rates of rape and robbery, and aggravated assault being the most common violent offense. The city's contribution to state crime statistics has remained minimal across all categories, reflecting its small size and generally safe environment. As the community continues to grow, maintaining these low crime rates will be crucial for the ongoing safety and quality of life of Taylor Mill's residents.
