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Violent Crime Trends in Slater, Missouri: Low Rates in a Small Urban Area
CATEGORY
Crime
DATA
Violent Crime
Median Rent
Racial Distributions
Population
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Crime
Violent Crime
Median Rent
Racial Distributions
Population
Slater, Missouri, a small urban area with a population of 2,331 as of 2022, has experienced notable fluctuations in its violent crime rates over the years. From 2010 to 2017, the total number of violent crimes varied between 0 and 4 incidents annually, while the population grew slightly from 2,445 to 2,520 during this period, representing a 3.1% increase.
The murder rate in Slater has been remarkably low, with only one reported case in 2016. This single incident represented 0.22% of the state's total murders that year. Given the city's small population, this translates to a rate of approximately 0.39 murders per 1,000 residents in 2016. In all other years from 2010 to 2017, there were no reported murders, indicating an overall very low murder rate for the city.
Rape incidents in Slater have been consistently reported as zero from 2010 to 2017. This absence of reported rapes suggests either a very safe environment regarding this particular crime or potential underreporting. The consistent zero figures mean that the city contributed 0% to the state's rape statistics throughout this period.
Similar to rape, robbery incidents in Slater were reported as zero for all years from 2010 to 2017. This indicates an extremely low incidence of robbery crimes, with the city contributing 0% to the state's robbery statistics during this time frame.
Aggravated assault has been the most prevalent form of violent crime in Slater. The number of aggravated assaults fluctuated between 0 and 3 incidents per year from 2010 to 2017. The highest number was recorded in 2016 with 3 cases, representing 0.02% of the state's total. The rate of aggravated assaults per 1,000 residents ranged from 0 to 1.19, with the peak occurring in 2016. Despite these fluctuations, the overall trend shows a relatively stable low rate of aggravated assaults in the city.
When examining correlations between violent crime trends and other factors, there appears to be a weak positive correlation between population density and violent crime incidents. For instance, in 2016, when the population density reached 1,751 people per square mile (the highest in the dataset), the city also experienced its highest number of violent crimes (4 incidents). However, this correlation is not consistent across all years and should be interpreted cautiously.
Applying predictive models to forecast violent crime trends for the next five years (up to 2029), based on the historical data and assuming current trends continue, we might expect: 1. Murder rates to remain very low, with potentially 0-1 incidents in the five-year period. 2. Rape and robbery rates to likely stay at or near zero, barring any significant changes in reporting or local conditions. 3. Aggravated assaults to fluctuate between 1-3 incidents per year, with an average of about 2 incidents annually.
In summary, Slater demonstrates a relatively low and stable violent crime profile. The most significant violent crime concern is aggravated assault, though even this occurs at low rates. The city's contribution to state-wide violent crime statistics is minimal, reflecting its small population. While there are slight fluctuations in crime rates, they do not appear to be strongly correlated with demographic changes. The forecast suggests that Slater is likely to maintain its low violent crime rates in the near future, barring any major socioeconomic shifts or changes in law enforcement practices.
