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Violent Crime Trends in Priceville, Alabama: A Decade of Fluctuations
CATEGORY
Crime
DATA
Violent Crime
Median Rent
Racial Distributions
Population
Loading Content...
Crime
Violent Crime
Median Rent
Racial Distributions
Population
Priceville, Alabama presents an intriguing case study in violent crime trends. From 2010 to 2022, the total number of violent crimes fluctuated, with the most recent data showing 7 incidents in 2022, up from 2 in 2021. This represents a 250% increase in violent crime over a single year. During this same period, the population grew from 6,073 in 2010 to 6,824 in 2022, an increase of 12.4%.
The murder rate in Priceville has remained exceptionally low, with only one recorded incident in 2014. This single case represented 0.5% of the state's murders that year. With a population of 6,793 in 2014, this equates to a murder rate of 0.15 per 1,000 residents. In all other years with available data, there were no reported murders, indicating that homicide is an extremely rare occurrence in this community.
Rape incidents have shown some variability over the years. In 2013, there were 4 reported cases, representing 0.35% of the state's total. This number decreased to 3 in 2014 (0.24% of state total), and further to 1 in 2015 (0.08% of state total). After a period with no reported cases, 2022 saw 3 incidents, accounting for 0.34% of the state's rapes. The rate per 1,000 residents has fluctuated accordingly, from 0.58 in 2013 to 0.44 in 2022.
Robbery trends have been minimal, with only one reported incident in each of 2014, 2015, and 2021. In 2021, this single robbery represented 0.12% of the state's total. The robbery rate per 1,000 residents has remained consistently low, reaching a maximum of 0.15 in 2014 and 2015, and 0.16 in 2021. No robberies were reported in 2022, indicating a potential improvement in this category.
Aggravated assault cases have shown some fluctuation. In 2013, there were 2 reported cases (0.02% of state total), decreasing to 1 in 2014 (0.01% of state total), and none in 2015. The most recent data from 2022 shows 4 cases, representing 0.04% of the state's total. This translates to a rate of 0.59 per 1,000 residents in 2022, up from 0.16 in 2021.
Examining correlations, there appears to be a moderate relationship between population growth and the overall number of violent crimes. As the population increased from 6,073 in 2010 to 6,824 in 2022, the number of violent crimes also generally trended upward, though not consistently. The population density, which increased from 1,033 per square mile in 2010 to 1,160 in 2022, seems to have a weak positive correlation with violent crime rates.
Applying predictive models based on the available data, it's projected that by 2029, Priceville may see a slight increase in violent crimes, potentially reaching 8-10 incidents annually if current trends continue. However, this projection should be interpreted cautiously due to the small numbers involved and the historical variability.
In summary, Priceville has experienced relatively low levels of violent crime over the past decade, with some fluctuations in specific categories. The most notable trend has been the recent uptick in aggravated assaults and rapes in 2022. Despite these increases, the overall crime rates remain low compared to many other urban areas. The town's growth and development will likely continue to influence these trends, making ongoing monitoring and community-based crime prevention efforts crucial for maintaining the generally safe environment that Priceville has historically enjoyed.
