Robbery trends in the city have been relatively stable, with low numbers throughout the period. The highest number of robberies (5) occurred in 2010, with the rate per 1,000 people at 0.28 that year. The city's contribution to state robbery statistics has remained minimal, never exceeding 0.1% of the state total. The low and stable robbery rates suggest that this particular crime is not a significant concern for the community.

Aggravated assault has shown more variation over the years. The number of cases ranged from a low of 1 in 2014 and 2016 to a high of 11 in 2017 and 2020. The rate per 1,000 people peaked at 0.56 in 2017. The city's contribution to state aggravated assault statistics has generally been low, with the highest percentage being 0.06% in 2017 and 2020. These figures indicate that while aggravated assault is more common than other violent crimes in the city, it still occurs at relatively low rates.

Examining correlations, there appears to be a weak positive relationship between population growth and the number of violent crimes. As the population increased from 17,629 in 2010 to 22,287 in 2022, the nature of violent crimes shifted, with aggravated assaults becoming more prevalent in recent years. However, the overall violent crime rate per capita has remained relatively stable, suggesting that population growth has not significantly impacted crime rates.

Applying predictive models to forecast violent crime trends for the next seven years (up to 2029, which is five years from now), we can anticipate a continuation of the current patterns. Violent crimes are likely to remain low, with occasional spikes in specific categories. The murder rate is expected to stay close to zero, with potential rare occurrences. Rape and robbery incidents are predicted to remain in the low single digits annually. Aggravated assaults may continue to show the most variability, potentially ranging between 4 to 11 cases per year.

In summary, Parkville has maintained relatively low violent crime rates despite significant population growth over the past decade. The city's contribution to state-level crime statistics remains minimal across all categories of violent crime. While there have been fluctuations in specific crime types, particularly aggravated assault, the overall trend suggests a stable and safe community. As Parkville continues to grow, maintaining these low crime rates will be crucial for preserving the city's quality of life and attractiveness to current and potential residents.