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Violent Crime Trends in Oregon, Missouri: A Decade of Remarkable Safety
CATEGORY
Crime
DATA
Violent Crime
Median Rent
Racial Distributions
Population
Oregon, Missouri, a small rural community with a population of 967 as of 2022, has experienced minimal violent crime activity over the past decade. Between 2010 and 2020, the total number of violent crimes fluctuated from 0 to 2 per year, showing no consistent trend. During this same period, the population grew from 852 in 2010 to 1,003 in 2020, an increase of 17.7%.
In terms of murder and non-negligent manslaughter, the city has maintained a consistently safe record. Throughout the entire period from 2010 to 2020, there were no reported cases of murder or non-negligent manslaughter. This translates to a rate of 0 per 1,000 residents and 0% of the state's total for this crime category, suggesting that Oregon has been particularly safe in this regard.
Rape incidents in Oregon have also been non-existent according to the available data. From 2010 to 2020, there were no reported cases of rape. This results in a rate of 0 per 1,000 residents and 0% of the state's total rape cases. The absence of reported rapes, despite the population growth, indicates a positive aspect of the city's safety profile.
Robbery statistics mirror those of murder and rape, with no reported incidents from 2010 to 2020. The robbery rate remained at 0 per 1,000 residents, and the city contributed 0% to the state's total robbery cases. This consistent absence of robberies, even as the population increased, suggests a very low risk of property-related violent crimes in the community.
Aggravated assault is the only category of violent crime that shows any activity in Oregon. In 2010, there were 2 reported cases of aggravated assault, representing 0.01% of the state's total. This translates to a rate of approximately 2.35 per 1,000 residents. From 2011 to 2017, there were no reported aggravated assaults. In 2018, there was 1 reported case, accounting for 0.01% of the state's total, with a rate of about 0.93 per 1,000 residents. In 2019 and 2020, the number of aggravated assaults returned to 0.
Given the extremely low incidence of violent crimes in Oregon, there are no strong correlations to be drawn between crime trends and other factors such as population density, median rent, or race distribution. The sporadic nature of the few reported crimes does not provide a sufficient basis for meaningful statistical analysis in relation to these demographic factors.
Applying predictive models to forecast violent crime trends for the next five years (up to 2029) is challenging due to the minimal and inconsistent data available. However, based on the historical pattern, it's reasonable to predict that violent crime rates will likely remain very low, with possibly 0-2 incidents of aggravated assault per year, and continued absence of other types of violent crimes. This forecast assumes that the underlying factors contributing to the city's low crime rate remain stable.
In summary, Oregon, Missouri, presents a picture of a remarkably safe small town with virtually no violent crime. The most significant finding is the consistent absence of murder, rape, and robbery over a decade, with only rare occurrences of aggravated assault. This exceptionally low crime rate, maintained even as the population grew, suggests a strong community fabric and effective local governance. The city's safety record stands out positively, especially when compared to broader urban or state-level crime statistics.
