Motor vehicle theft has been virtually non-existent in the city throughout the reported period. From 2010 to 2018, no motor vehicle thefts were reported, except for a single incident in an unspecified year. This suggests that the city has been particularly successful in preventing this type of crime, or that residents may have effective deterrents in place.

Arson incidents in the city have been rare. Only one case of arson was reported in 2011, representing 0.11% of the state's total arson cases for that year. This isolated incident, occurring when the population was around 1,400, resulted in an arson rate of approximately 0.71 per 1,000 residents. The absence of arson cases in other years indicates that this was likely an anomalous event rather than part of a recurring pattern.

Examining correlations between property crime trends and demographic factors reveals some interesting patterns. As the population density decreased from 1,270 per square mile in 2010 to 897 in 2022, there was a general downward trend in property crimes. This suggests that the lower population density may have contributed to reduced opportunities for property crimes. However, the relationship is not strictly linear, as crime fluctuations occurred independently of population changes in some years.

Applying predictive models to forecast property crime trends for the next five years (up to 2029) suggests a potential stabilization or slight decrease in overall property crime rates. Based on the historical data and current trends, we might expect to see larceny-theft remaining the primary property crime concern, with an average of 3-4 incidents per year. Burglary rates are likely to remain low, with 0-1 incidents per year. Motor vehicle theft and arson are likely to remain rare occurrences, with possibly no incidents in most years.

In summary, Maysville has experienced a general decline in property crime rates concurrent with its population decrease. Larceny-theft emerges as the most persistent issue, while other forms of property crime remain infrequent. The city's relatively low and decreasing crime rates, despite economic fluctuations, suggest a resilient community with effective crime prevention measures. Moving forward, maintaining vigilance against larceny-theft while continuing successful strategies against other property crimes will be crucial for sustaining the positive trends observed in Maysville.