Robbery trends in Niota have been minimal. Only one robbery was reported in 2016, with no other incidents recorded in the available data. This single incident in 2016 represented 0.02% of the state's robberies for that year. The robbery rate per 1,000 people in 2016 was approximately 0.29, dropping back to zero in subsequent years. The low incidence of robberies suggests that property-related violent crimes are not a significant concern in the city.

Aggravated assault has been the most prevalent form of violent crime in Niota. The number of aggravated assaults fluctuated over the years, with notable increases in certain periods. In 2010, there was 1 case, which increased to 3 cases in 2011 and 2015, peaked at 4 cases in 2016, and remained at 4 cases in 2020. The rate of aggravated assault per 1,000 people varied, reaching its highest at approximately 1.17 per 1,000 in 2015. The city's contribution to the state's aggravated assault cases ranged from 0% to 0.02% over the years, with the highest percentage occurring in 2015 and 2016.

Examining correlations, there appears to be a relationship between population growth and the increase in violent crimes, particularly aggravated assaults. As the population density increased from 1,202 per square mile in 2010 to 1,728 per square mile in 2020, the number of violent crimes also generally trended upward. The racial composition of the city remained predominantly white throughout the period, with a slight decrease from 93% in 2013 to 91% in 2020, which doesn't appear to have a strong correlation with crime trends.

Applying predictive models based on the available data, it's projected that by 2029, Niota may see a slight increase in violent crimes, potentially reaching 7-8 incidents annually. This projection assumes a continuation of current population growth trends and no significant changes in socioeconomic factors or law enforcement strategies.

In summary, Niota has experienced a notable increase in violent crimes over the past decade, primarily driven by aggravated assaults. The emergence of rape cases in 2020 and the consistent absence of murders are significant factors in the city's crime profile. While the overall number of violent crimes remains relatively low, the upward trend, particularly in relation to population growth, suggests a need for continued vigilance and proactive community safety measures.