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Crime
Violent Crime
Median Rent
Racial Distributions
Population
Munford, located in Tennessee, has experienced notable fluctuations in violent crime rates over the past decade, set against a backdrop of population growth. From 2010 to 2022, the total number of violent crimes varied significantly, ranging from a low of 9 in 2010 to a high of 28 in 2011, before settling at 10 in 2022. This represents an overall increase of 11.11% in violent crimes over the 12-year period. During the same timeframe, the city's population grew from 12,454 in 2010 to 12,693 in 2022, an increase of 1.92%.
Examining murder trends, the city has maintained a remarkably low rate, with only three incidents reported over the entire period: two in 2011 and one in 2019. This translates to an average of 0.25 murders per year. When considering the population, the murder rate per 1,000 people has remained consistently low, peaking at 0.16 per 1,000 in 2011 and averaging 0.02 per 1,000 over the 12-year span. The percentage of state murders attributable to Munford has been minimal, with the highest contribution being 0.69% in 2011 and 0.29% in 2019.
Rape incidents have shown more variability. The number of reported rapes ranged from zero in some years to a high of 6 in 2018. The rape rate per 1,000 people fluctuated accordingly, reaching its peak of 0.43 per 1,000 in 2018. The city's contribution to state rape statistics has been relatively small but variable, with the highest percentage being 0.38% in 2018. The trend shows an overall increase from 2010 to 2022, with the most recent figure of 3 rapes in 2022 representing 0.19% of state totals.
Robbery incidents in the city have been infrequent, with a maximum of 4 cases reported in 2012. The robbery rate per 1,000 people has remained low, peaking at 0.33 per 1,000 in 2012. The city's contribution to state robbery statistics has been minimal, never exceeding 0.06% (in 2012). In recent years, including 2020, 2021, and 2022, no robberies were reported, indicating a positive trend in this category of violent crime.
Aggravated assault has been the most prevalent form of violent crime in the city. The number of incidents has fluctuated, reaching a high of 24 in 2011 and a low of 7 in 2022. The rate per 1,000 people has correspondingly varied, peaking at 1.96 per 1,000 in 2011 and decreasing to 0.55 per 1,000 in 2022. The city's contribution to state aggravated assault statistics has generally been low, ranging from 0.03% to 0.11% over the years, with the most recent figure being 0.03% in 2022.
When examining correlations between violent crime trends and other factors, a notable relationship emerges with population density. As the population density increased from 1,314 per square mile in 2010 to a peak of 1,488 in 2017, violent crimes also saw an uptick. However, as density began to decrease after 2017, reaching 1,339 per square mile in 2022, violent crimes also showed a general downward trend. This suggests a possible correlation between population density and violent crime rates in the city.
Applying predictive models to forecast violent crime trends for the next five years (up to 2029), based on the historical data and recent downward trend, we can anticipate a continued gradual decrease in overall violent crime rates. Specifically, aggravated assaults are likely to continue their downward trajectory, potentially reaching an average of 5-6 incidents per year by 2029. Rape incidents may stabilize at around 2-3 per year, while robberies are expected to remain rare or non-existent. Murder rates are predicted to remain exceptionally low, with possibly one incident occurring within the five-year period.
In summary, Munford has demonstrated a complex but generally improving violent crime landscape over the past decade. The most significant discoveries include the consistently low murder rate, the fluctuating but recently decreasing trend in aggravated assaults, and the potential correlation between population density and violent crime rates. The city's contribution to state crime statistics has remained relatively small across all categories of violent crime. As the community moves forward, these trends suggest a cautiously optimistic outlook for public safety in Munford, with violent crime rates expected to remain low or potentially decrease further in the coming years.