Motor vehicle theft showed an irregular pattern. There were no reported cases in 2010, but the number fluctuated over the years, reaching a peak of 3 in 2017 before settling at 1 in 2020. The rate per 1,000 residents went from 0 in 2010 to 0.6 in 2020. The city's contribution to state motor vehicle thefts varied, reaching a high of 0.03% in 2017. Despite the low absolute numbers, the increase from zero to one case represents a concern that may require targeted prevention strategies.

Arson cases were consistently reported as zero throughout the entire period from 2010 to 2020. This absence of arson incidents suggests either effective fire prevention measures or accurate reporting practices in the community.

Examining correlations between property crime trends and demographic factors reveals some interesting patterns. As the median income increased from $28,724 in 2013 to $43,834 in 2020, there was a general downward trend in property crimes. This suggests that improved economic conditions may have contributed to reduced property crime rates. Additionally, the percentage of owner-occupied housing remained relatively stable, hovering around 77% from 2013 to 2022, which could indicate a sense of community stability that might discourage property crimes.

Applying predictive models to forecast property crime trends for the next five years (up to 2029) suggests a continued decline in overall property crime rates. Based on the historical data and current trends, we can project that burglaries may decrease further to an average of 1-2 cases per year, larceny-theft could remain at very low levels or zero, and motor vehicle thefts might stabilize at 0-1 cases annually.

In summary, Decaturville has experienced a significant overall reduction in property crimes over the past decade, with notable decreases in burglaries and larceny-theft. The absence of arson cases and the low, albeit fluctuating, rates of motor vehicle theft contribute to a generally positive trend in community safety. These improvements, coupled with rising median incomes and stable homeownership rates, paint a picture of a community that has made substantial progress in combating property crime. As the city moves forward, maintaining these positive trends will be crucial for ensuring the continued safety and well-being of its residents.