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Violent Crime Trends in Moody, Alabama: A Study of Growth and Fluctuation
CATEGORY
Crime
DATA
Violent Crime
Median Rent
Racial Distributions
Population
Loading Content...
Crime
Violent Crime
Median Rent
Racial Distributions
Population
Moody, Alabama, a growing community, has experienced significant changes in its violent crime landscape over the past decade. From 2010 to 2022, the total number of violent crimes increased from 2 to 23, representing a 1050% increase. During the same period, the population grew from 13,787 to 18,930, a 37.3% increase. This analysis explores the trends in various violent crime categories and their implications for the city.
Murder rates in Moody have remained relatively low, with only sporadic occurrences. In 2012, 2017, 2018, and 2022, there was one murder reported each year, with two murders in 2022. The murder rate per 1,000 people fluctuated between 0 and 0.11 during this period. The percentage of state murders attributed to Moody increased from 0% in 2010 to 0.54% in 2022, indicating a slight rise in the city's contribution to statewide murder statistics. This trend suggests that while murder remains infrequent, its occurrence has become more notable in recent years.
Rape incidents in Moody have shown a variable pattern. The first reported cases were in 2015, with 3 incidents (0.18 per 1,000 people). The number peaked at 4 in 2016 and 2017 before decreasing to 1 in 2018 and rising again to 3 in 2022. The rape rate per 1,000 people ranged from 0 to 0.25 during this period. The city's contribution to state rape statistics increased from 0% in 2010 to 0.34% in 2022, indicating a growing share of the state's rape cases occurring in the city.
Robbery trends have shown fluctuations over the years. The number of robberies increased from 0 in 2010 to a peak of 4 in 2014 and 2017, before decreasing to 1 in 2022. The robbery rate per 1,000 people ranged from 0 to 0.25 during this period. The city's percentage of state robberies increased from 0% in 2010 to 0.08% in 2022, suggesting a minor increase in the city's contribution to state robbery statistics.
Aggravated assault has been the most prevalent violent crime in Moody, showing a significant increase over time. The number of aggravated assaults rose from 2 in 2010 to a peak of 54 in 2017, before decreasing to 17 in 2022. The aggravated assault rate per 1,000 people increased from 0.15 in 2010 to a high of 3.40 in 2017, before declining to 0.90 in 2022. The city's contribution to state aggravated assault statistics grew from 0.03% in 2010 to 0.15% in 2022, indicating an increased share of the state's aggravated assaults occurring in the city.
Examining correlations, there appears to be a relationship between population growth and the increase in violent crimes, particularly aggravated assaults. As the population density increased from 562 people per square mile in 2010 to 771 in 2022, the number of violent crimes also rose. However, the relationship is not linear, as crime rates have fluctuated despite consistent population growth.
Applying predictive models to forecast violent crime trends, it is estimated that by 2029 (five years from now), Moody may experience: - A slight increase in murders, potentially reaching 3-4 per year - Rape incidents stabilizing around 3-4 per year - Robbery cases remaining low, around 1-2 per year - Aggravated assaults potentially increasing to 25-30 per year
In summary, Moody has experienced a significant increase in violent crimes, particularly aggravated assaults, over the past decade. While the overall numbers remain relatively low for a city of its size, the growth rate of violent crimes has outpaced population growth. The city's contribution to state crime statistics has increased across all categories, indicating a growing need for targeted crime prevention strategies. As the community continues to expand, local law enforcement and city officials should focus on maintaining public safety and addressing the factors contributing to the rise in violent crimes, especially aggravated assaults.
