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Violent Crime Trends in Mocksville: A Decade of Stability Amidst Growth
CATEGORY
Crime
DATA
Violent Crime
Median Rent
Racial Distributions
Population
Loading Content...
Crime
Violent Crime
Median Rent
Racial Distributions
Population
Mocksville, located in North Carolina, has experienced fluctuating violent crime rates alongside population changes over the past decade. From 2010 to 2019, the total number of violent crimes decreased from 17 to 14, representing a 17.6% reduction. During this same period, the population increased from 12,690 to 13,206, a growth of 4.1%.
The murder rate in Mocksville has remained consistently at zero from 2010 to 2019, with no reported cases throughout this period. This stability is notable given the population growth, maintaining a murder rate of 0 per 1,000 residents. The percentage of state murders attributable to Mocksville has also remained at 0% throughout this time, indicating that the town has not contributed to the state's murder statistics.
Rape incidents in Mocksville have shown some variation over the years. In 2010, there were 4 reported cases, which decreased to 2 in 2012, and then increased to 5 in 2019. The rate per 1,000 people fluctuated from 0.32 in 2010 to 0.38 in 2019. The percentage of state rapes attributable to Mocksville decreased slightly from 0.35% in 2010 to 0.30% in 2019, despite the increase in absolute numbers. This suggests that while rape incidents have increased in the town, they have not grown as rapidly as the state average.
Robbery trends in Mocksville have shown volatility. The number of robberies increased from 3 in 2010 to a peak of 6 in 2017, before decreasing to 4 in 2019. The robbery rate per 1,000 people rose from 0.24 in 2010 to 0.30 in 2019. The town's contribution to state robberies increased from 0.04% in 2010 to 0.07% in 2019, indicating that Mocksville's robbery rate grew faster than the state average during this period.
Aggravated assault cases in Mocksville have shown significant fluctuations. From 10 cases in 2010, it dropped to 1 in 2012, then peaked at 19 in 2017, before declining to 5 in 2019. The rate per 1,000 people varied from 0.79 in 2010 to 0.38 in 2019. The town's contribution to state aggravated assaults decreased from 0.07% in 2010 to 0.03% in 2019, suggesting that despite fluctuations, Mocksville's aggravated assault rate has grown slower than the state average.
Examining correlations, there appears to be a relationship between population density and violent crime rates. As population density increased from 1,633 per square mile in 2010 to 1,700 in 2019, violent crime rates showed some corresponding fluctuations. Additionally, the racial composition of the town has remained relatively stable, with the white population decreasing slightly from 77% in 2013 to 74% in 2022, while the Hispanic population increased from 10% to 12% during the same period. This subtle demographic shift does not appear to have a strong correlation with violent crime trends.
Applying predictive models to forecast violent crime trends for the next seven years (up to 2029, which is five years from now in 2024), we can anticipate a potential stabilization or slight decrease in overall violent crime rates. This projection is based on the general downward trend observed from 2010 to 2019, coupled with the town's consistent population growth and relatively stable demographic composition.
In summary, Mocksville has experienced a overall decrease in violent crime rates from 2010 to 2019, despite population growth. The town has maintained a zero murder rate, seen fluctuations in rape and robbery incidents, and experienced significant variations in aggravated assault cases. The relationship between population density and crime rates, as well as the subtle demographic shifts, provide context for these trends. Looking ahead, Mocksville may continue to see a stabilization or slight decrease in violent crime rates, reflecting the town's evolving urban dynamics and community safety efforts.
