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Violent Crime Trends in Miami, Oklahoma: A Decade of Fluctuations in a Small Urban Area
CATEGORY
Crime
DATA
Violent Crime
Median Rent
Racial Distributions
Population
Loading Content...
Crime
Violent Crime
Median Rent
Racial Distributions
Population
Miami, Oklahoma, a small urban area with a population of 15,018 in 2022, has experienced notable fluctuations in violent crime rates over the past decade. The total number of violent crimes decreased from 74 in 2010 to 65 in 2022, representing a 12.16% reduction. This decline occurred alongside a population decrease of 5.82% from 15,946 in 2010 to 15,018 in 2022, suggesting a complex relationship between demographic changes and crime rates.
Murder rates in the city have remained relatively low, with sporadic occurrences. The city reported no murders in most years, with single incidents in 2013, 2016, 2019, and 2021. These isolated events resulted in murder rates of 0.06 per 1,000 residents in those years. The percentage of state murders attributed to the city fluctuated between 0% and 0.61%, with the highest contribution in 2013. This low and inconsistent murder rate suggests that homicide is not a persistent issue in the community.
Rape incidents have shown variability over the years, with a notable increase from 2 cases in 2011 to 12 cases in 2018, followed by a decrease to 5 cases in 2022. The rape rate per 1,000 residents increased from 0.13 in 2011 to 0.76 in 2018, before dropping to 0.33 in 2022. The city's contribution to state rape cases fluctuated significantly, peaking at 1.84% in 2013 and dropping to 0.28% in 2022. This trend indicates a volatile pattern in sexual assault cases, warranting attention from local law enforcement.
Robbery incidents in the city have remained relatively low, ranging from 1 to 8 cases annually. The robbery rate per 1,000 residents reached its highest point of 0.51 in 2019 with 8 incidents, decreasing to 0.27 per 1,000 in 2022 with 4 cases. The city's share of state robberies has generally been low, ranging from 0.03% to 0.35%, indicating that robbery is not a major concern compared to state-wide figures.
Aggravated assault has been the most prevalent violent crime in the city, though showing significant fluctuations. The number of cases dropped from 56 in 2010 to 22 in 2016, before rising again to 56 in 2022. The rate per 1,000 residents decreased from 3.51 in 2010 to 1.38 in 2016, then increased to 3.73 in 2022. The city's contribution to state aggravated assault cases has varied between 0.21% and 0.54%, with the most recent figure at 0.52% in 2022. This trend suggests that aggravated assault remains a persistent issue in the community.
Examining correlations, there appears to be a relationship between population density and violent crime rates. As population density decreased from 1,437 per square mile in 2010 to 1,353 in 2022, the overall violent crime rate also showed a general downward trend. Additionally, the increase in median rent from $595 in 2013 to $804 in 2022 coincided with some fluctuations in crime rates, potentially indicating a complex interplay between economic factors and criminal activity.
Applying predictive models to forecast violent crime trends for the next five years (up to 2029), we anticipate a potential stabilization or slight decrease in overall violent crime rates. This projection is based on the observed downward trend in population and the cyclical nature of crime rates over the past decade. However, aggravated assault may continue to be the most significant contributor to violent crime in the city.
In summary, Miami has experienced a general decrease in violent crime over the past decade, with notable fluctuations in specific crime categories. The reduction in population density appears to have a correlation with the overall crime trend. Aggravated assault remains the most pressing violent crime issue, while murder rates have stayed consistently low. The city's contribution to state-wide crime figures has generally been small, reflecting its relatively modest size. These trends suggest that targeted interventions focusing on assault prevention could be beneficial for further improving public safety in the community.
